Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.51
assuming max odds 2.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 65.62%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visit): 34.38%. For Golden State Valkyries (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.51, with an expected value of -0.911%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -0.911%E -0.604%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -8.55%E -3.22%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-16 01:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -0.911%E -0.604%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-16 01:28 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.22%E -1.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 01:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.22%E -1.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.22%E -1.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.22%E -1.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 01:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.22%E -1.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 01:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.22%E -1.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 01:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.22%E -1.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 01:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.22%E -1.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 01:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.22%E -1.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.22%E -1.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.58%E -3.64%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.22%E -1.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.58%E -3.64%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 01:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.88%E -1.95%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-15 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.88%E -1.95%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-15 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.88%E -1.95%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.88%E -1.95%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-15 16:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.54%E -2.41%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-16 01:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.54%E -2.41%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -10.62%E -4.08%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 01:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-16 01:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.85%E -3.34%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 00:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.85%E -3.34%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 00:57 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.85%E -3.34%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-15 15:21 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.85%E -3.34%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 01:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -4.85%E -3.34%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -4.08%E -1.46%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 23:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.85%E -3.34%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.12%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.85%E -3.34%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 22:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.85%E -3.34%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 22:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.85%E -3.34%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.18%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.02%E -0.709%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-15 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -2.37%E -0.833%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 23:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.45%EV -5.80%E -2.12%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.82%E -4.80%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.18%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.82%E -4.80%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.18%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.13%E -5.81%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 01:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.13%E -5.81%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-15 23:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.92%EV -8.13%E -5.81%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.08%EV -14.74%E -5.94%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 0.3% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 0.3% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88% | 1.6% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |