La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Golden State Valkyries v Los Angeles Sparks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Golden State Valkyries (Local)
Predicción 65.62%1.52momio equitativo
EV -0.911%
Ventaja -0.604%
Kelly -1.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.70%65.45%65.63%66.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.461.451.5171.43%68.49%68.97%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)
Predicción 34.38%2.91momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -0.709%
Kelly -1.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.57%34.55%34.37%36.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.482.722.752.8540.32%36.76%36.36%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -0.911%E -0.604%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -8.55%E -3.22%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-16 01:40 |
| Bovada | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -0.911%E -0.604%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-16 01:28 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.22%E -1.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 01:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.22%E -1.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.22%E -1.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.22%E -1.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 01:59 |
| Unibet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.22%E -1.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 01:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.22%E -1.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 01:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.22%E -1.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 01:50 |
| betPARX | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.22%E -1.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 01:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.22%E -1.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.22%E -1.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.58%E -3.64%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.22%E -1.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -9.58%E -3.64%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 01:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.88%E -1.95%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-15 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.88%E -1.95%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-15 16:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.88%E -1.95%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| BetUS | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.88%E -1.95%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-15 16:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.54%E -2.41%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-16 01:50 |
| Fliff | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.54%E -2.41%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -10.62%E -4.08%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 01:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-16 01:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.85%E -3.34%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 00:50 |
| Caesars | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.85%E -3.34%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 00:57 |
| GTbets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.85%E -3.34%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-15 15:21 |
| BetAnything | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.85%E -3.34%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 01:29 |
| ReBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -4.85%E -3.34%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -4.08%E -1.46%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 23:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.85%E -3.34%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.12%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.85%E -3.34%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 22:29 |
| Neds | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.85%E -3.34%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 22:30 |
| TAB | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.85%E -3.34%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.18%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.02%E -0.709%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-15 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -2.37%E -0.833%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 23:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 23:30 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.45%EV -5.80%E -2.12%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.82%E -4.80%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.18%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.82%E -4.80%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.18%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.13%E -5.81%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 01:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.13%E -5.81%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-15 23:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.92%EV -8.13%E -5.81%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.08%EV -14.74%E -5.94%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 0.3% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 0.3% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| Novig | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88% | 1.6% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |