Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Valkyries v Indiana Fever

Kickoff: 2026-05-29 02:10 UTC

Final: Golden State Valkyries 90–88 Indiana Fever

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Valkyries (Local)

Prediction 54.14%1.85fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -3.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.95%54.11%54.22%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.771.771.8059.88%56.65%56.50%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indiana Fever (Visit)

Prediction 45.86%2.18fair odd
EV -0.483%
Edge -0.223%
Kelly -0.413%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%45.89%45.78%49.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.062.052.1753.48%48.49%48.78%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 54.14%; Indiana Fever (Visit): 45.86%. For Indiana Fever (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.17, with an expected value of -0.483%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-29 01:50
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 01:36
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 15:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 15:08
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 15:08
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 01:39
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -14.24%E -7.62%K -16.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 00:49
LeoVegas🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 21:19
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 23:39
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 21:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 21:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 23:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 21:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 21:19
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 21:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 21:19
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 21:19
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.44%E -3.16%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 21:19
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-28 16:00
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-28 20:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 01:19
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-28 15:59
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 01:39
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 01:39
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 01:19
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-28 16:29
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.53%E -2.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 01:40
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 01:39
ReBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 01:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 01:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 01:59
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 01:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -1.86%E -0.869%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 01:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -1.86%E -0.869%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 01:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 01:19
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.40%E -0.651%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 01:49
Coolbet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.53%E -2.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 01:57
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 01:59
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -0.483%E -0.223%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 01:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 01:40
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 00:39
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 00:29
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 01:29
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.59%E -5.74%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 01:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.35%EV -9.59%E -5.74%K -14.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.65%EV -12.41%E -6.50%K -13.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-28 21:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-05-29 01:49
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 53.62%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.38%0.3%2026-05-29 01:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-29 01:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-29 01:59
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-29 01:58
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-29 01:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-05-29 01:59
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%3.8%2026-05-29 01:59