La escuela de los momios

Golden State Valkyries v Indiana Fever

Inicio: 2026-05-29 02:10 UTC

Final: Golden State Valkyries 90–88 Indiana Fever

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Golden State Valkyries (Local)

Predicción 54.14%1.85momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -1.42%
Kelly -3.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.95%54.11%54.22%55.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.771.771.8059.88%56.65%56.50%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Indiana Fever (Visitante)

Predicción 45.86%2.18momio equitativo
EV -0.483%
Ventaja -0.223%
Kelly -0.413%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%45.89%45.78%49.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.872.062.052.1753.48%48.49%48.78%46.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-29 01:50
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 01:36
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 15:09
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 15:08
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 15:08
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 01:39
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -14.24%E -7.62%K -16.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 00:49
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 21:19
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 23:39
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 21:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 21:19
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 23:39
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 21:19
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 21:19
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 21:20
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 21:19
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 21:19
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.44%E -3.16%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 21:19
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-28 16:00
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-28 20:09
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 01:19
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-28 15:59
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 01:39
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 01:39
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 01:19
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-28 16:29
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.53%E -2.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 01:40
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 01:39
ReBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 01:40
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 01:49
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 01:59
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 01:59
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -1.86%E -0.869%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 01:49
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -1.86%E -0.869%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 01:49
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 01:19
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.40%E -0.651%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 01:49
Coolbet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.53%E -2.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 01:57
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 01:59
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -0.483%E -0.223%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 01:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 01:40
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 00:39
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 00:29
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 01:29
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.59%E -5.74%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.69%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 01:49
PMU (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.35%EV -9.59%E -5.74%K -14.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.65%EV -12.41%E -6.50%K -13.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-28 21:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-05-29 01:49
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 53.62%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.38%0.3%2026-05-29 01:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-29 01:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-29 01:59
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-29 01:58
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-29 01:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-05-29 01:59
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%3.8%2026-05-29 01:59