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Golden State Valkyries v Connecticut Sun
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Golden State Valkyries (Local)
Prediction 86.04%1.16fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -21.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.72%86.11%86.04%87.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.111.111.1395.24%90.27%90.09%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Connecticut Sun (Visit)
Prediction 13.96%7.16fair odd
EV +11.69%
Edge +1.46%
Kelly +1.67%
Growth +0.195%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.09%13.89%13.96%18.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.056.696.758.0019.80%14.96%14.81%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 86.04%; Connecticut Sun (Visit): 13.96%. For Connecticut Sun (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.16. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +11.69%E +1.46%K +1.67%G +0.195% | 3.4% | 2026-05-26 01:48 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.22%E -5.70%K -69.09%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.71%E +0.628%K +0.725%G +0.034% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 02:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV +1.92%E +0.263%K +0.305%G +0.006% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 02:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.37%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.63%EV -0.871%E -0.123%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-26 01:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.27%E -0.324%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 15:37 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.27%E -0.324%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 01:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.27%E -0.324%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 20:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.27%E -0.324%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 01:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.27%E -0.324%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 01:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.22%E -5.70%K -69.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.27%E -0.324%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 02:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -3.66%E -0.531%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 01:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 01:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 23:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 01:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 21:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 21:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 01:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 22:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 22:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 22:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 01:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -6.46%E -0.964%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 23:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -6.46%E -0.964%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -7.71%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -7.71%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 23:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -7.85%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 01:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -9.25%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 16:18 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -9.25%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 23:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.25%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.25%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.25%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 01:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.25%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 01:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.25%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 01:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -13.44%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -13.44%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.23%E -2.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 02:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.23%E -2.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 23:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 84.67%EV -9.66%E -9.20%K -193.20%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -19.02%E -3.28%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-25 22:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -2.78%E -2.46%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -29.49%E -5.84%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-26 01:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.50% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.50% | -0.0% | 2026-05-26 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-26 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-26 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-26 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-05-26 01:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 1.9% | 2026-05-26 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.51% | 6.33I 15.80%NM 15.49% | 2.0% | 2026-05-26 02:00 |