A Escola das Odds

Golden State Valkyries v Connecticut Sun

Início: 2026-05-26 02:10 UTC

Final: Golden State Valkyries 97–70 Connecticut Sun

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Golden State Valkyries (Local)

Previsão 86.04%1.16odd justa
EV -2.78%
Vantagem -2.46%
Kelly -21.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
81.72%86.11%86.04%87.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.051.111.111.1395.24%90.27%90.09%88.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Connecticut Sun (Visitante)

Previsão 13.96%7.16odd justa
EV +11.69%
Vantagem +1.46%
Kelly +1.67%
Crescimento +0.195%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.09%13.89%13.96%18.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.056.696.758.0019.80%14.96%14.81%12.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +11.69%E +1.46%K +1.67%G +0.195%3.4%2026-05-26 01:48
Unibet (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.22%E -5.70%K -69.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.71%E +0.628%K +0.725%G +0.034%5.1%2026-05-26 02:00
FanDuel1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV +1.92%E +0.263%K +0.305%G +0.006%4.6%2026-05-26 02:00
Pinnacle1.12I 89.29%NM 86.37%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.31%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.63%EV -0.871%E -0.123%K -0.143%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-26 01:59
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.27%E -0.324%K -0.378%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 15:37
888sport1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.27%E -0.324%K -0.378%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 01:19
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.27%E -0.324%K -0.378%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 20:10
Mr Green (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.27%E -0.324%K -0.378%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 01:20
888sport (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.27%E -0.324%K -0.378%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 01:20
Betway1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.22%E -5.70%K -69.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.27%E -0.324%K -0.378%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 02:00
MyBookie.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -3.66%E -0.531%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 01:28
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 01:20
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 23:50
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 01:40
Betr (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 21:40
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 21:39
Hard Rock Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 01:59
Unibet (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 22:49
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 22:50
Unibet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 22:50
TABtouch1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 22:50
Svenska Spel1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 22:50
betPARX1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 22:50
ATG (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 22:50
Bally Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 22:50
Bovada1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.76%E -0.853%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 01:38
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -6.46%E -0.964%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 23:20
ReBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -6.46%E -0.964%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 01:59
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -7.71%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 23:20
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -7.71%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 23:20
Coolbet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -7.85%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 01:58
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -9.25%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 16:18
BetAnything1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -9.25%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 23:20
BetRivers1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.25%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 22:50
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.25%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 23:00
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.25%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 01:59
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.25%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 01:59
TAB1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.25%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 01:20
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -13.44%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -13.44%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 16:20
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.23%E -2.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 02:00
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.23%E -2.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 23:00
PMU (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 84.67%EV -9.66%E -9.20%K -193.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -19.02%E -3.28%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-25 22:20
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -2.78%E -2.46%K -21.36%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -29.49%E -5.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 01:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.17I 85.47%NM 85.50%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.50%-0.0%2026-05-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-26 02:00
Kalshi1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-05-26 01:50
Polymarket1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%1.9%2026-05-26 02:00
Novig1.16I 86.21%NM 84.51%6.33I 15.80%NM 15.49%2.0%2026-05-26 02:00