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Golden State Valkyries v Chicago Sky
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Golden State Valkyries (Local)
Prediction 75.94%1.32fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -10.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.68%75.91%76.05%77.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.261.261.2884.75%79.57%79.37%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Sky (Visit)
Prediction 24.06%4.16fair odd
EV +2.26%
Edge +0.533%
Kelly +0.696%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.59%24.09%23.95%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.903.904.2528.57%25.64%25.64%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 75.94%; Chicago Sky (Visit): 24.06%. For Chicago Sky (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.26%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.84%E -4.71%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +2.26%E +0.533%K +0.696%G +0.016% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 23:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.56%E -2.80%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.35%E -0.328%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-13 01:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.56%E -2.80%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.35%E -0.328%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-13 01:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.32%E -3.43%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.35%E -0.328%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 01:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.35%E -0.328%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-13 01:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.35%E -0.328%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-13 01:52 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.60%E -5.36%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.35%E -0.328%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 01:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.35%E -0.328%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-12 13:58 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.32%E -3.43%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -1.83%E -0.448%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -4.32%E -3.43%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -2.31%E -0.569%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-13 01:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -4.32%E -3.43%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -2.31%E -0.569%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-13 01:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.32%E -3.43%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -2.55%E -0.629%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-13 01:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.56%E -2.80%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-13 01:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.32%E -3.43%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-13 01:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 15:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 15:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 15:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 23:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 23:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -10.39%E -8.81%K -57.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-12 00:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.56%E -2.80%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.96%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-13 01:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.32%E -3.43%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 01:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.32%E -3.43%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 01:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.56%E -2.80%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 01:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.32%E -3.43%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 02:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 01:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.84%E -4.71%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 01:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.84%E -4.71%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 01:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.85%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.15%EV -8.32%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-13 01:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.32%E -3.43%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 01:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 01:58 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 01:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 01:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 01:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 01:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 01:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 01:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 01:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 01:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 01:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.56%E -2.80%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 01:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.56%E -2.80%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 01:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-13 01:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-13 02:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -12.17%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-13 02:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -13.38%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-13 01:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -15.78%E -4.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-13 01:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-08-12 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 01:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 01:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69% | 1.3% | 2026-08-13 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-13 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-13 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-08-13 02:00 |