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Golden State Valkyries v Chicago Sky
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Golden State Valkyries (Local)
Predicción 75.94%1.32momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -2.19%
Kelly -10.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.68%75.91%76.05%77.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.181.261.261.2884.75%79.57%79.37%78.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago Sky (Visitante)
Predicción 24.06%4.16momio equitativo
EV +2.26%
Ventaja +0.533%
Kelly +0.696%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.59%24.09%23.95%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.903.904.2528.57%25.64%25.64%23.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 75.94%; Chicago Sky (Visitante): 24.06%. Para Chicago Sky (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.16. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.26%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.84%E -4.71%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +2.26%E +0.533%K +0.696%G +0.016% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 23:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.56%E -2.80%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.35%E -0.328%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-13 01:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.56%E -2.80%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.35%E -0.328%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-13 01:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.32%E -3.43%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.35%E -0.328%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 01:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.35%E -0.328%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-13 01:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.35%E -0.328%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-13 01:52 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.60%E -5.36%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.35%E -0.328%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 01:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.35%E -0.328%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-12 13:58 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.32%E -3.43%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -1.83%E -0.448%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -4.32%E -3.43%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -2.31%E -0.569%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-13 01:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -4.32%E -3.43%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -2.31%E -0.569%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-13 01:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.32%E -3.43%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -2.55%E -0.629%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-13 01:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.56%E -2.80%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-13 01:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.32%E -3.43%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-13 01:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 15:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 15:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 15:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 23:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 23:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -10.39%E -8.81%K -57.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -3.75%E -0.938%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-12 00:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.56%E -2.80%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.96%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-13 01:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.32%E -3.43%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 01:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.32%E -3.43%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 01:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.56%E -2.80%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 01:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.32%E -3.43%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 02:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 01:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.84%E -4.71%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 01:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.84%E -4.71%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 01:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.85%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.15%EV -8.32%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-13 01:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.32%E -3.43%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 01:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 01:58 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 01:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 01:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 01:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 01:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 01:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 01:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 01:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 01:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.80%E -2.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 01:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.56%E -2.80%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 01:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.56%E -2.80%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 01:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-13 01:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-13 02:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -12.17%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-13 02:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -7.36%E -6.03%K -33.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -13.38%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-13 01:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.08%E -4.06%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -15.78%E -4.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-13 01:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-08-12 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 01:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 01:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69% | 1.3% | 2026-08-13 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-13 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-13 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-08-13 02:00 |