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Golden State Valkyries v Atlanta Dream
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Golden State Valkyries (Local)
Prediction 56.03%1.78fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -4.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.59%56.16%56.00%59.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.671.691.7367.11%60.02%59.35%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlanta Dream (Visit)
Prediction 43.97%2.27fair odd
EV +4.65%
Edge +1.95%
Kelly +3.37%
Growth +0.157%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.05%43.84%44.00%45.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.3848.78%45.39%45.45%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 56.03%; Atlanta Dream (Visit): 43.97%. For Atlanta Dream (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -10.35%E -6.47%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV +4.65%E +1.95%K +3.37%G +0.157% | 4.5% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -10.35%E -6.47%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV +4.65%E +1.95%K +3.37%G +0.157% | 4.5% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -10.35%E -6.47%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV +4.65%E +1.95%K +3.37%G +0.157% | 4.5% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -10.35%E -6.47%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV +4.65%E +1.95%K +3.37%G +0.157% | 4.5% | 2026-10-17 19:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -10.35%E -6.47%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV +4.65%E +1.95%K +3.37%G +0.157% | 4.5% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -10.35%E -6.47%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV +4.65%E +1.95%K +3.37%G +0.157% | 4.5% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -10.35%E -6.47%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV +4.65%E +1.95%K +3.37%G +0.157% | 4.5% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -10.35%E -6.47%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV +4.65%E +1.95%K +3.37%G +0.157% | 4.5% | 2026-10-17 19:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -12.03%E -7.66%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +3.33%E +1.42%K +2.47%G +0.082% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -12.03%E -7.66%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +3.33%E +1.42%K +2.47%G +0.082% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +1.13%E +0.492%K +0.871%G +0.010% | 3.4% | 2026-10-17 19:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.07%E -0.474%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.07%E -0.474%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-17 19:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-17 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-17 19:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-17 19:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-17 19:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-17 19:37 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 19:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-17 19:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.62%EV -16.52%E -11.08%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.07%E -1.77%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-17 19:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.99%E -4.21%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.07%E -1.77%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.02%E -2.33%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-17 19:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.87%E -3.49%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 19:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 19:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 19:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 19:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.77%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.77%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.77%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 19:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 17:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 19:35 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.07%E -1.77%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -8.54%E -4.11%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 19:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 19:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 19:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 19:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 19:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72% | 1.6% | 2026-10-17 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72% | 1.6% | 2026-10-17 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72% | 1.6% | 2026-10-17 19:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72% | 1.6% | 2026-10-17 19:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-10-17 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41% | 2.9% | 2026-10-17 19:40 |