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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Golden State Valkyries v Atlanta Dream

2026-10-17 19:30 UTC — WNBA

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Golden State Valkyries (Local)

Predicción 56.66%1.76momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.812%
Kelly -1.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.83%56.56%56.81%58.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.571.681.691.7463.69%59.47%59.17%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Dream (Visitante)

Predicción 43.34%2.31momio equitativo
EV +0.118%
Ventaja +0.051%
Kelly +0.090%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.52%43.44%43.19%45.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.022.182.172.3149.50%45.93%46.08%43.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 56.66%; Atlanta Dream (Visitante): 43.34%. Para Atlanta Dream (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.307. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.310, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.118%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -7.08%E -4.32%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV +0.118%E +0.051%K +0.090%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.25%E -2.51%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.48%E -1.10%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-10 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.25%E -2.51%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.48%E -1.10%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-10 19:30
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.25%E -2.51%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.48%E -1.10%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-10 19:25
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.25%E -2.51%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.48%E -1.10%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-10 14:10
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.25%E -2.51%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.48%E -1.10%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-10 20:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.38%E -3.22%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.48%E -1.10%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 20:35
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -6.51%E -3.95%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -4.22%E -1.91%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 20:35
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.11%E -1.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 15:50
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.11%E -1.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 16:17
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.68%E -2.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 15:35
Caesars🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.68%E -2.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 18:29
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.38%E -3.22%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.38%E -3.22%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.38%E -3.22%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.38%E -3.22%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.38%E -3.22%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.51%E -3.95%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 15:40
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.95%E -3.58%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.52%E -2.53%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 15:45
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.51%E -3.95%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.52%E -2.53%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 14:09
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.51%E -3.95%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.52%E -2.53%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 14:09
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.68%E -2.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.95%E -2.74%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.68%E -2.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.95%E -2.74%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.68%E -2.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.95%E -2.74%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.68%E -2.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.95%E -2.74%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 17:09
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.68%E -2.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.95%E -2.74%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.68%E -2.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.95%E -2.74%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 17:10
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.68%E -2.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.95%E -2.74%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.68%E -2.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.95%E -2.74%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 17:10
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.68%E -2.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.38%E -2.96%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 20:25
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.68%E -2.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.38%E -2.96%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 17:09
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.68%E -2.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.38%E -2.96%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 17:09
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.41%E -0.812%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 16:44
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.11%E -1.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.81%E -2.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 16:45
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.78%E -5.45%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 20:30
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.78%E -5.45%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 20:34
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.98%E -1.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.98%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.98%E -1.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.98%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.55%E -1.48%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.98%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.38%E -3.22%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.98%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 13:59
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -7.08%E -4.32%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -11.15%E -5.44%K -10.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 20:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.27%EV -11.05%E -7.04%K -19.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.73%EV -12.45%E -6.16%K -12.21%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-10 17:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-10-10 19:30
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%3.2%2026-10-10 19:10
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 55.91%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%9.1%2026-10-10 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 53.39%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.61%13.5%2026-10-10 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 53.39%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.61%13.5%2026-10-10 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 53.39%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.61%13.5%2026-10-10 18:05