Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Wings v Washington Mystics

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 00:00 UTC

Final: Dallas Wings 92–69 Washington Mystics

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Wings (Local)

Prediction 62.37%1.60fair odd
EV -0.208%
Edge -0.130%
Kelly -0.347%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.49%62.34%62.31%64.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.521.531.6071.43%65.66%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Mystics (Visit)

Prediction 37.63%2.66fair odd
EV -0.280%
Edge -0.106%
Kelly -0.170%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.99%37.66%37.69%39.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.552.542.6540.82%39.21%39.37%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Wings (Local): 62.37%; Washington Mystics (Visit): 37.63%. For Dallas Wings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.603. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.600, with an expected value of -0.208%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -0.208%E -0.130%K -0.347%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-18 23:49
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.08%E -1.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-18 23:00
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.08%E -1.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.08%E -1.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.29%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-18 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.29%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-18 14:15
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-18 21:45
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-18 23:10
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -4.80%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 23:10
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -5.55%E -2.21%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 23:20
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 21:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 22:45
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.95%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.42%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:55
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.95%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 14:15
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.95%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.68%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 23:50
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.16%E -0.831%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-18 21:40
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.16%E -0.831%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-18 14:45
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.91%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 14:14
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -4.42%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 22:49
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 23:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 22:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 23:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 23:20
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -7.43%E -3.02%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 23:50
TAB🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 23:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 21:20
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -4.42%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 23:30
ReBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -4.42%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 22:45
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.42%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 23:30
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 21:05
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.68%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 21:20
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.68%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 21:20
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.280%E -0.106%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:30
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.280%E -0.106%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.280%E -0.106%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:30
LeoVegas🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.280%E -0.106%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.280%E -0.106%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.280%E -0.106%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:30
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.280%E -0.106%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:25
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.280%E -0.106%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.280%E -0.106%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.280%E -0.106%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:25
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.03%E -0.393%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 22:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.92%EV -12.68%E -9.06%K -31.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.08%EV -6.68%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-18 22:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-05-18 23:50
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.67%2.59I 38.61%NM 38.33%0.7%2026-05-18 23:40
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-05-18 22:20
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-18 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-05-18 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-05-18 23:50
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-05-18 23:30