La escuela de los momios

Dallas Wings v Washington Mystics

Inicio: 2026-05-19 00:00 UTC

Final: Dallas Wings 92–69 Washington Mystics

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dallas Wings (Local)

Predicción 62.37%1.60momio equitativo
EV -0.208%
Ventaja -0.130%
Kelly -0.347%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.49%62.34%62.31%64.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.521.531.6071.43%65.66%65.36%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Washington Mystics (Visitante)

Predicción 37.63%2.66momio equitativo
EV -0.280%
Ventaja -0.106%
Kelly -0.170%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.99%37.66%37.69%39.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.552.542.6540.82%39.21%39.37%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -0.208%E -0.130%K -0.347%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-18 23:49
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.08%E -1.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-18 23:00
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.08%E -1.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.08%E -1.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 14:15
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.29%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-18 14:15
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.29%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-18 14:15
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-18 21:45
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-18 23:10
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -4.80%E -1.90%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 23:10
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -5.55%E -2.21%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 23:20
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 21:38
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 22:45
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.95%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.42%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:55
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.95%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 14:15
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.95%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.68%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 23:50
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.16%E -0.831%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-18 21:40
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.16%E -0.831%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-18 14:45
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.91%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 14:14
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -4.42%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 22:49
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 23:20
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 22:25
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 23:20
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 23:20
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -7.43%E -3.02%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 23:50
TAB1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 23:19
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 21:20
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -4.42%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 23:30
ReBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -4.42%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 22:45
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.42%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 23:30
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 21:05
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.68%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 21:20
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.68%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 21:20
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.280%E -0.106%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:30
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.280%E -0.106%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:30
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.280%E -0.106%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:30
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.280%E -0.106%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.280%E -0.106%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:25
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.280%E -0.106%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:30
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.280%E -0.106%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:25
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.280%E -0.106%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:25
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.280%E -0.106%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:30
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.280%E -0.106%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:25
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.03%E -0.393%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 22:25
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.92%EV -12.68%E -9.06%K -31.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.08%EV -6.68%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-18 22:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-05-18 23:50
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.67%2.59I 38.61%NM 38.33%0.7%2026-05-18 23:40
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-05-18 22:20
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-18 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-05-18 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-05-18 23:50
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-05-18 23:30