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Dallas Wings v Phoenix Mercury
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dallas Wings (Local)
Prediction 70.09%1.43fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -4.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%69.90%70.15%71.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.361.361.4078.13%73.52%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Phoenix Mercury (Visit)
Prediction 29.91%3.34fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.397%
Kelly -0.570%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.88%30.10%29.85%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.153.203.3034.48%31.77%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Wings (Local): 70.09%; Phoenix Mercury (Visit): 29.91%. For Phoenix Mercury (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -1.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.87%E -1.33%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.27%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.87%E -1.33%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.27%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -2.57%E -1.85%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -9.68%E -3.21%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 00:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -4.60%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-12 01:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-11 17:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.29%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 04:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.29%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 04:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -7.89%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-12 00:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.28%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -1.31%E -0.397%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-12 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.70%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-11 22:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.70%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-11 22:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-11 20:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-11 20:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-11 22:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-12 00:56 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.81%E -0.863%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-12 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 21:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 23:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 23:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 23:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 23:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 23:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 23:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 23:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 23:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 04:27 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-11 23:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-11 23:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.29%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-12 00:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.28%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-12 01:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.28%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-12 00:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -1.91%E -0.582%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-12 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -4.90%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-11 21:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-12 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.29%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-12 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.28%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-11 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.48%E -5.66%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.81%E -0.863%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-12 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.48%E -5.66%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.81%E -0.863%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-12 00:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.38%EV -10.28%E -8.03%K -36.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%EV -13.27%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-12 01:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-06-12 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-06-12 01:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-06-12 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 30.34% | 1.1% | 2026-06-12 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-06-12 01:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.7% | 2026-06-12 00:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 1.9% | 2026-06-12 01:00 |