La scuola delle quote

Dallas Wings v Phoenix Mercury

Inizio: 2026-06-12 01:15 UTC

Finale: Dallas Wings 85–70 Phoenix Mercury

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

43 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Dallas Wings (Casa)

Previsione 70.09%1.43quota equa
EV -1.87%
Vantaggio -1.33%
Kelly -4.67%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.44%69.90%70.15%71.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.281.361.361.4078.13%73.52%73.53%71.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Phoenix Mercury (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.91%3.34quota equa
EV -1.31%
Vantaggio -0.397%
Kelly -0.570%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.88%30.10%29.85%32.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.153.203.3034.48%31.77%31.25%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.87%E -1.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.27%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.87%E -1.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.27%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 23:29
MyBookie.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -2.57%E -1.85%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -9.68%E -3.21%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 00:49
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -4.60%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-12 01:00
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-11 17:49
Neds1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.29%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 04:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.29%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 04:30
ReBet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -7.89%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-12 00:59
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.28%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-11 23:00
Bet Victor1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -1.31%E -0.397%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-12 01:00
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.70%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-11 22:19
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.70%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-11 22:19
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-11 20:49
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-11 20:50
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-11 22:20
Bovada1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-12 00:56
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.81%E -0.863%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 01:00
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 21:40
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 21:00
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 23:20
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 23:19
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 23:19
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 23:20
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 23:19
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 23:19
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 23:20
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 23:19
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 04:27
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 23:20
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 23:20
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.29%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 00:59
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.28%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-12 01:00
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.67%E -3.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.28%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-12 00:39
Caesars1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -1.91%E -0.582%K -0.837%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 00:20
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 01:00
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.86%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -4.90%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 21:40
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 00:10
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.29%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-12 01:00
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.28%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-11 18:10
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.48%E -5.66%K -23.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.81%E -0.863%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 00:10
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.48%E -5.66%K -23.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.81%E -0.863%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 00:10
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 69.38%EV -10.28%E -8.03%K -36.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%EV -13.27%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-12 01:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-06-12 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-06-12 01:00
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-06-12 01:00
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66%3.26I 30.67%NM 30.34%1.1%2026-06-12 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-06-12 01:00
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-06-12 00:50
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-06-12 01:00