Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.27
assuming max odds 4.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Wings (Local): 77.65%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visit): 22.35%. For Dallas Wings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.27, with an expected value of -1.39%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -1.39%E -1.09%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -12.83%E -3.29%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-19 15:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV -1.65%E -0.375%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-19 16:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV -1.65%E -0.375%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-19 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 15:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -2.77%E -0.636%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-19 16:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -2.77%E -0.636%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-19 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -2.99%E -0.689%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-19 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -2.99%E -0.689%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-19 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.70%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.30%EV -3.44%E -0.796%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-19 16:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-19 15:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-19 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-19 15:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 15:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -2.77%E -0.636%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-19 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 16:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 16:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 16:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 16:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 16:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 16:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 16:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 16:48 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.65%E -0.375%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-19 16:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.65%E -0.375%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-19 15:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.65%E -0.375%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-19 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-19 15:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-19 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-19 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-19 15:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-19 16:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -9.47%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-19 15:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -9.47%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-19 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-19 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.11%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.77%E -0.636%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-19 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-19 15:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -15.06%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-19 16:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.00%EV -8.38%E -7.10%K -46.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -11.71%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-19 16:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-07-19 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-07-19 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-07-19 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-07-19 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-07-19 16:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69% | 1.3% | 2026-07-19 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 1.7% | 2026-07-19 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-07-19 16:45 |