La escuela de los momios

Dallas Wings v Los Angeles Sparks

Inicio: 2026-07-19 17:00 UTC

Final: Dallas Wings 90–82 Los Angeles Sparks

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dallas Wings (Local)

Predicción 77.65%1.29momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -5.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.44%77.61%77.66%78.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.181.231.231.2784.75%81.37%81.30%78.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)

Predicción 22.35%4.47momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -0.375%
Kelly -0.485%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.62%22.39%22.34%24.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.204.204.4026.32%23.79%23.81%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -1.39%E -1.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -12.83%E -3.29%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 15:50
betano_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV -1.65%E -0.375%K -0.485%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-19 16:50
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV -1.65%E -0.375%K -0.485%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-19 16:50
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 15:50
Unibet (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -2.77%E -0.636%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-19 16:49
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -2.77%E -0.636%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-19 16:20
LowVig.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -2.99%E -0.689%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -2.99%E -0.689%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 16:20
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 77.70%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.30%EV -3.44%E -0.796%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 16:45
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 15:00
GTbets1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 16:50
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 15:49
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 15:04
Caesars1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -2.77%E -0.636%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 14:55
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 16:50
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:55
ReBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:35
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:50
MyBookie.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:40
TABtouch1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:15
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:15
Unibet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:15
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:15
Unibet (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:15
Bally Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:15
Svenska Spel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:15
ATG (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:15
betPARX1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:15
Bovada1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:48
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.65%E -0.375%K -0.485%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 16:24
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.65%E -0.375%K -0.485%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 15:05
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.65%E -0.375%K -0.485%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 14:55
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 15:05
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-19 15:05
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 15:05
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 15:05
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 15:05
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 16:49
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -9.47%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 15:04
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -9.47%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 16:35
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 16:50
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.77%E -0.636%K -0.826%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 16:55
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 15:30
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -6.82%E -5.69%K -34.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -15.06%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-19 16:55
PMU (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.00%EV -8.38%E -7.10%K -46.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -11.71%E -2.96%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-19 16:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-07-19 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-07-19 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-07-19 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-07-19 16:50
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-07-19 16:50
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69%1.3%2026-07-19 16:55
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-07-19 16:55
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%2.0%2026-07-19 16:45