The School of Odds

Dallas Wings v Chicago Sky

2026-07-12 23:00 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Dallas Wings (Local)

Prediction 77.48%1.29fair odd
EV -3.92%
Edge -3.16%
Kelly -16.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.20%77.46%77.49%83.92%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.141.221.221.2488%82%82%81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chicago Sky (Visit)

Prediction 22.52%4.44fair odd
EV +33.97%
Edge +5.71%
Kelly +6.86%
Growth +2.33%

assuming max odds 5.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.08%22.54%22.51%24.80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.704.244.205.9527%24%24%17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.92%EV -11.67%E -10.24%K -83.35%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.08%EV +33.97%E +5.71%K +6.86%G +2.33%4.5%2026-07-11 17:09
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.47%E -4.48%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.928%E -0.211%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 17:09
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -7.02%E -5.85%K -35.10%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.05%E -0.472%K -0.613%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 16:59
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.92%E -3.16%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.18%E -0.739%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 18:29
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.47%E -4.48%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.18%E -0.739%K -0.964%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 17:09
Caesars1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -4.70%E -3.82%K -20.41%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV -3.63%E -0.848%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 18:26
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.92%E -3.16%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.31%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 17:04
GTbets1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.92%E -3.16%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.31%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 18:34
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.70%E -3.82%K -20.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.31%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 17:14
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.47%E -4.48%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.31%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 17:20
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.70%E -3.82%K -20.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.70%E -3.82%K -20.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 18:27
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.70%E -3.82%K -20.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 17:15
MyBookie.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.70%E -3.82%K -20.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 17:13
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.47%E -4.48%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:09
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.47%E -4.48%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:09
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.47%E -4.48%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:09
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.47%E -4.48%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:09
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.47%E -4.48%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:14
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.47%E -4.48%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 17:20
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.47%E -4.48%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.81%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 17:09
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.47%E -4.48%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.81%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 17:09
ReBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.47%E -4.48%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 18:29
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.47%E -4.48%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 19:04
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.02%E -5.85%K -35.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 16:58
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -5.47%E -4.48%K -24.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -16.69%E -4.51%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 18:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-07-11 19:04
Polymarket1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%3.0%2026-07-11 19:30
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 77.31%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.69%3.5%2026-07-11 19:24
Arbitrage (22 combinations) +2.61%Fanatics 1.24 (82.8%) / 1xBet 5.95 (17.2%)Show all 22 combinations
Dallas Wings (Local)Chicago Sky (Visit)Margin
DraftKings 1.24 (82.8%)1xBet 5.95 (17.2%)+2.61%
Fanatics 1.24 (82.8%)1xBet 5.95 (17.2%)+2.61%
GTbets 1.24 (82.8%)1xBet 5.95 (17.2%)+2.61%
Caesars 1.23 (82.9%)1xBet 5.95 (17.1%)+1.93%
Bet Right 1.23 (82.9%)1xBet 5.95 (17.1%)+1.93%
FanDuel 1.23 (82.9%)1xBet 5.95 (17.1%)+1.93%
Unibet (UK) 1.23 (82.9%)1xBet 5.95 (17.1%)+1.93%
Betr (AU) 1.23 (82.9%)1xBet 5.95 (17.1%)+1.93%
MyBookie.ag 1.23 (82.9%)1xBet 5.95 (17.1%)+1.93%
theScore Bet 1.22 (83.0%)1xBet 5.95 (17.0%)+1.24%
Betway 1.22 (83.0%)1xBet 5.95 (17.0%)+1.24%
Hard Rock Bet 1.22 (83.0%)1xBet 5.95 (17.0%)+1.24%
888sport 1.22 (83.0%)1xBet 5.95 (17.0%)+1.24%
888sport (SE) 1.22 (83.0%)1xBet 5.95 (17.0%)+1.24%
TAB 1.22 (83.0%)1xBet 5.95 (17.0%)+1.24%
Mr Green (SE) 1.22 (83.0%)1xBet 5.95 (17.0%)+1.24%
Coolbet 1.22 (83.0%)1xBet 5.95 (17.0%)+1.24%
Fliff 1.22 (83.0%)1xBet 5.95 (17.0%)+1.24%
Betsson 1.22 (83.0%)1xBet 5.95 (17.0%)+1.24%
NordicBet 1.22 (83.0%)1xBet 5.95 (17.0%)+1.24%
ReBet 1.22 (83.0%)1xBet 5.95 (17.0%)+1.24%
BoyleSports 1.22 (83.0%)1xBet 5.95 (17.0%)+1.24%
LeoVegas 1.22 (83.0%)1xBet 5.95 (17.0%)+1.24%