Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.23
assuming max odds 4.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Wings (Local): 78.97%; Chicago Sky (Visit): 21.03%. For Chicago Sky (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.75. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.955%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV +0.955%E +0.199%K +0.251%G +0.002% | 2.8% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| betano_uk | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV +0.955%E +0.199%K +0.251%G +0.002% | 2.8% | 2026-07-12 22:58 |
| theScore Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.955%E +0.199%K +0.251%G +0.002% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.77%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.23%EV +0.324%E +0.068%K +0.086%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| BetUS | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| Bovada | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 22:58 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| GTbets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 23:00 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-12 23:00 |
| Caesars | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -6.41%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| Fliff | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -6.41%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.46%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.46%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| ReBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.46%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.51%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| Betsson | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| Unibet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 23:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| betPARX | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 23:00 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.66%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| TAB | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.66%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.66%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -15.87%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -17.97%E -4.61%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-07-12 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-07-12 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-07-12 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| ProphetX | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.64% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.36% | 1.3% | 2026-07-12 23:00 |
| Novig | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 2.0% | 2026-07-12 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.60% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.40% | 3.0% | 2026-07-12 23:00 |