Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Wings v Chicago Sky

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 23:02 UTC

Final: Dallas Wings 96–91 Chicago Sky

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Wings (Local)

Prediction 78.97%1.27fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -12.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.47%78.92%79.06%80.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.211.221.2385.47%82.49%81.97%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Sky (Visit)

Prediction 21.03%4.75fair odd
EV +0.955%
Edge +0.199%
Kelly +0.251%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.73%21.08%20.94%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.414.404.8025.64%22.69%22.73%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Wings (Local): 78.97%; Chicago Sky (Visit): 21.03%. For Chicago Sky (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.75. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.955%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV +0.955%E +0.199%K +0.251%G +0.002%2.8%2026-07-12 22:59
betano_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV +0.955%E +0.199%K +0.251%G +0.002%2.8%2026-07-12 22:58
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.955%E +0.199%K +0.251%G +0.002%5.6%2026-07-12 22:59
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 79.77%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.23%EV +0.324%E +0.068%K +0.086%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-12 22:59
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.310%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 22:59
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 22:59
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 22:59
BetUS1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 22:59
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 22:59
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 22:58
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 22:59
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 22:59
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 23:00
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 22:59
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 22:59
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-12 23:00
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -6.41%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 22:59
Fliff1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -6.41%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 22:59
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.46%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.46%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 22:59
ReBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.46%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 22:59
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.51%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 22:59
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 22:59
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-12 22:59
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-12 22:59
Unibet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 22:59
Unibet (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 22:59
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 23:00
ATG (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 22:59
Svenska Spel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 22:59
betPARX1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 22:59
Bally Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 22:59
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 22:59
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 22:59
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 23:00
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.66%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 22:59
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.66%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.66%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 22:59
PMU (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -15.87%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-12 22:59
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -17.97%E -4.61%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 22:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-07-12 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-07-12 23:00
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-07-12 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-07-12 22:59
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 79.64%4.85I 20.62%NM 20.36%1.3%2026-07-12 23:00
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-07-12 22:59
Polymarket1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%2.0%2026-07-12 23:00
Kalshi1.22I 81.97%NM 79.60%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.40%3.0%2026-07-12 23:00