L’École des cotes

Dallas Wings v Chicago Sky

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-12 23:02 UTC

Score final : Dallas Wings 96–91 Chicago Sky

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dallas Wings (Local)

Prévision 78.97%1.27cote équitable
EV -2.87%
Avantage -2.33%
Kelly -12.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.47%78.92%79.06%80.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.211.221.2385.47%82.49%81.97%81.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Sky (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.03%4.75cote équitable
EV +0.955%
Avantage +0.199%
Kelly +0.251%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.73%21.08%20.94%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.414.404.8025.64%22.69%22.73%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV +0.955%E +0.199%K +0.251%G +0.002%2.8%2026-07-12 22:59
betano_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV +0.955%E +0.199%K +0.251%G +0.002%2.8%2026-07-12 22:58
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.955%E +0.199%K +0.251%G +0.002%5.6%2026-07-12 22:59
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 79.77%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.23%EV +0.324%E +0.068%K +0.086%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-12 22:59
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.310%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 22:59
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 22:59
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 22:59
BetUS1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 22:59
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 22:59
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 22:58
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 22:59
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 22:59
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 23:00
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 22:59
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 22:59
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-12 23:00
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -6.41%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 22:59
Fliff1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -6.41%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 22:59
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.46%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.46%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 22:59
ReBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.46%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 22:59
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.51%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 22:59
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 22:59
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-12 22:59
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-12 22:59
Unibet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 22:59
Unibet (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 22:59
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 23:00
ATG (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 22:59
Svenska Spel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 22:59
betPARX1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 22:59
Bally Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 22:59
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 22:59
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 22:59
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 23:00
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.66%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 22:59
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.66%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.66%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 22:59
PMU (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -15.87%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-12 22:59
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -17.97%E -4.61%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 22:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-07-12 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-07-12 23:00
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-07-12 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-07-12 22:59
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 79.64%4.85I 20.62%NM 20.36%1.3%2026-07-12 23:00
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-07-12 22:59
Polymarket1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%2.0%2026-07-12 23:00
Kalshi1.22I 81.97%NM 79.60%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.40%3.0%2026-07-12 23:00