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Connecticut Sun v Washington Mystics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Connecticut Sun (Local)
Prediction 39.64%2.52fair odd
EV -0.895%
Edge -0.358%
Kelly -0.597%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.31%39.58%39.66%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.412.452.5044.44%41.42%40.82%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Mystics (Visit)
Prediction 60.36%1.66fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.90%60.42%60.34%61.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.571.571.6267.57%63.49%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Connecticut Sun (Local): 39.64%; Washington Mystics (Visit): 60.36%. For Connecticut Sun (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -0.895%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.895%E -0.358%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.84%E -3.74%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-26 23:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.895%E -0.358%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.84%E -3.74%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.69%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.69%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.69%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.69%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.69%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.69%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.69%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.69%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.69%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.69%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.69%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.88%E -1.17%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.82%E -1.75%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.88%E -1.17%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.82%E -1.75%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.88%E -1.17%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.82%E -1.75%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.88%E -1.17%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.82%E -1.75%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.88%E -1.17%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.43%E -2.14%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-26 23:28 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.88%E -1.17%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.03%E -2.54%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.88%E -1.17%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.88%E -1.17%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.88%E -1.17%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.88%E -1.17%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.86%E -2.02%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.82%E -1.75%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.86%E -2.02%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.86%E -2.02%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.65%E -2.37%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.65%E -2.37%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.65%E -2.37%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.65%E -2.37%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.66%EV -10.67%E -7.21%K -22.23%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -6.05%E -2.55%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.44%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.43%E -2.14%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.44%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.43%E -2.14%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -6.44%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-26 23:28 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.84%E -2.91%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.84%E -2.91%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.84%E -2.91%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.43%E -2.14%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.84%E -2.91%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.43%E -2.14%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.84%E -2.91%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.84%E -2.91%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -8.03%E -3.46%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.54%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.82%E -3.84%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.82%E -3.84%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.81%E -4.80%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.5% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10% | 2.7% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |