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Connecticut Sun v Washington Mystics
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Connecticut Sun (Local)
Predicción 39.64%2.52momio equitativo
EV -0.895%
Ventaja -0.358%
Kelly -0.597%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.31%39.58%39.66%41.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.412.452.5044.44%41.42%40.82%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Washington Mystics (Visitante)
Predicción 60.36%1.66momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -1.37%
Kelly -3.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.90%60.42%60.34%61.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.481.571.571.6267.57%63.49%63.69%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Connecticut Sun (Local): 39.64%; Washington Mystics (Visitante): 60.36%. Para Connecticut Sun (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.52. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.50, con un valor esperado de -0.895%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.895%E -0.358%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.84%E -3.74%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-26 23:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.895%E -0.358%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.84%E -3.74%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.69%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.69%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.69%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.69%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.69%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.69%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.69%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.69%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.69%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.69%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.69%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.88%E -1.17%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.82%E -1.75%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.88%E -1.17%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.82%E -1.75%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.88%E -1.17%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.82%E -1.75%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.88%E -1.17%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.82%E -1.75%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.88%E -1.17%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.43%E -2.14%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-26 23:28 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.88%E -1.17%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.03%E -2.54%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.88%E -1.17%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.88%E -1.17%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.88%E -1.17%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.88%E -1.17%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.86%E -2.02%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.82%E -1.75%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.86%E -2.02%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.86%E -2.02%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.65%E -2.37%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.65%E -2.37%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.65%E -2.37%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.65%E -2.37%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.66%EV -10.67%E -7.21%K -22.23%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -6.05%E -2.55%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.44%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.43%E -2.14%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.44%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.43%E -2.14%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -6.44%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-26 23:28 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.84%E -2.91%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.84%E -2.91%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.84%E -2.91%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.43%E -2.14%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.84%E -2.91%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.43%E -2.14%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.84%E -2.91%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.84%E -2.91%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -8.03%E -3.46%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.54%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.82%E -3.84%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.82%E -3.84%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.81%E -4.80%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-06-26 23:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.5% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10% | 2.7% | 2026-06-26 23:30 |