Language:English
Connecticut Sun v Washington Mystics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Connecticut Sun (Local)
Prediction 53.74%1.86fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -4.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.82%53.68%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.751.751.8061.73%56.98%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Mystics (Visit)
Prediction 46.26%2.16fair odd
EV -0.537%
Edge -0.250%
Kelly -0.467%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%46.18%46.32%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.072.102.1551.02%48.20%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Connecticut Sun (Local): 53.74%; Washington Mystics (Visit): 46.26%. For Washington Mystics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -0.537%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.27%E -1.82%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-17 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.27%E -1.82%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.27%E -1.82%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.27%E -1.82%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-17 22:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.27%E -1.82%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.27%E -1.82%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.27%E -1.82%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.27%E -1.82%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.35%E -2.44%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.88%E -2.76%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.88%E -2.76%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.88%E -2.76%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-17 22:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.88%E -2.76%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-17 22:58 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.88%E -2.76%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-17 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.88%E -2.76%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.70%E -2.28%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.88%E -2.76%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -5.42%E -3.08%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -1.46%E -0.686%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.42%E -3.08%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.78%E -1.81%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-17 22:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.42%E -3.08%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 22:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-17 22:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.55%E -3.24%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-17 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.55%E -3.24%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-17 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.537%E -0.250%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.537%E -0.250%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-17 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 23:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.03%E -4.07%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-17 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.03%E -4.07%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.03%E -4.07%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.26%E -6.14%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.75%EV -12.94%E -7.99%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.25%EV -9.33%E -4.76%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-17 23:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.1% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.1% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.1% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98% | 1.2% | 2026-06-17 22:58 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.65% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.35% | 1.3% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-06-17 23:00 |