A Escola das Odds

Connecticut Sun v Washington Mystics

Início: 2026-06-17 23:02 UTC

Final: Connecticut Sun 81–88 Washington Mystics

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Connecticut Sun (Local)

Previsão 53.74%1.86odd justa
EV -3.27%
Vantagem -1.82%
Kelly -4.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%53.82%53.68%55.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.751.751.8061.73%56.98%57.14%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Washington Mystics (Visitante)

Previsão 46.26%2.16odd justa
EV -0.537%
Vantagem -0.250%
Kelly -0.467%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.30%46.18%46.32%47.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.962.072.102.1551.02%48.20%47.62%46.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.27%E -1.82%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-17 22:59
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.27%E -1.82%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 23:00
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.27%E -1.82%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 23:00
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.27%E -1.82%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 22:58
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.27%E -1.82%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 23:00
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.27%E -1.82%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 23:00
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.27%E -1.82%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 22:59
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.27%E -1.82%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.35%E -2.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.88%E -2.76%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 23:00
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.88%E -2.76%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 23:00
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.88%E -2.76%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 22:59
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.88%E -2.76%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 22:58
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.88%E -2.76%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 22:59
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.88%E -2.76%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.70%E -2.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.88%E -2.76%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 23:00
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -5.42%E -3.08%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -1.46%E -0.686%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-17 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.42%E -3.08%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.78%E -1.81%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 22:59
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.42%E -3.08%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 23:00
ReBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 22:59
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 22:49
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.55%E -3.24%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 22:59
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.55%E -3.24%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 22:59
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.537%E -0.250%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 23:00
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.537%E -0.250%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 22:59
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 23:00
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 23:00
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 23:00
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 23:01
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 23:00
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 23:00
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 23:00
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 23:00
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 23:00
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.03%E -4.07%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 22:59
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.03%E -4.07%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.03%E -4.07%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 23:00
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.26%E -6.14%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.85%E -1.36%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 23:00
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.75%EV -12.94%E -7.99%K -20.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.25%EV -9.33%E -4.76%K -9.72%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-17 23:01
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-17 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-06-17 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-06-17 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-06-17 23:00
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-06-17 22:58
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.65%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.35%1.3%2026-06-17 23:00
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-06-17 23:00