Language:English
Connecticut Sun v New York Liberty
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Connecticut Sun (Local)
Prediction 23.55%4.25fair odd
EV +1.95%
Edge +0.451%
Kelly +0.586%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.40%23.76%23.59%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.924.004.3328.99%25.53%25.00%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Liberty (Visit)
Prediction 76.45%1.31fair odd
EV -0.609%
Edge -0.469%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.47%76.24%76.41%77.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.261.251.3081.30%79.40%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Connecticut Sun (Local): 23.55%; New York Liberty (Visit): 76.45%. For Connecticut Sun (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.25. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV +1.95%E +0.451%K +0.586%G +0.011% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 16:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +1.25%E +0.290%K +0.377%G +0.005% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +0.068%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.20%E -4.19%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 16:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.89%EV -0.874%E -0.207%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.11%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.11%E -0.264%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 16:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.11%E -0.264%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.20%E -4.19%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 16:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.11%E -0.264%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.20%E -4.19%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 16:42 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -2.05%E -0.493%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 16:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -2.05%E -0.493%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 16:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -2.29%E -0.551%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -2.29%E -0.551%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.20%E -4.19%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.46%E -0.845%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.46%E -0.845%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.46%E -0.845%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.46%E -0.845%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.20%E -4.19%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -4.64%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.96%E -4.85%K -25.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 16:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.20%E -4.19%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 16:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.20%E -4.19%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.20%E -4.19%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.17%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.17%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.20%E -4.19%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 16:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.35%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.15%EV -10.29%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.85%EV -2.14%E -1.67%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 16:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.37%E -1.06%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 15:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.90%E -2.29%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.67%E -2.91%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -15.24%E -4.23%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -0.609%E -0.469%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -15.24%E -4.23%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -0.609%E -0.469%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -15.24%E -4.23%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -0.609%E -0.469%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 16:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -15.24%E -4.23%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -0.609%E -0.469%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -15.24%E -4.23%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -0.609%E -0.469%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -15.24%E -4.23%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -0.609%E -0.469%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -15.24%E -4.23%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -0.609%E -0.469%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -15.24%E -4.23%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -0.609%E -0.469%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 16:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -15.24%E -4.23%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.37%E -1.06%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -15.24%E -4.23%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.37%E -1.06%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -16.41%E -4.62%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -5.20%E -4.19%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -17.59%E -5.03%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -18.77%E -5.44%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.56%EV -5.20%E -4.19%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 16:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.45I 22.47%NM 22.20% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.80% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Novig◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |