Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Connecticut Sun v New York Liberty

Início: 2026-08-15 17:03 UTC

Final: Connecticut Sun 75–82 New York Liberty

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Connecticut Sun (Local)

Previsão 23.55%4.25odd justa
EV +1.95%
Vantagem +0.451%
Kelly +0.586%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.40%23.76%23.59%26.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.453.924.004.3328.99%25.53%25.00%23.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Liberty (Visitante)

Previsão 76.45%1.31odd justa
EV -0.609%
Vantagem -0.469%
Kelly -2.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.47%76.24%76.41%77.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.231.261.251.3081.30%79.40%80.00%76.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Connecticut Sun (Local): 23.55%; New York Liberty (Visitante): 76.45%. Para Connecticut Sun (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.25. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.33, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.95%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
betano_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV +1.95%E +0.451%K +0.586%G +0.011%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 16:48
Bet Victor🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +1.25%E +0.290%K +0.377%G +0.005%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 16:54
BetMGM🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +0.068%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.20%E -4.19%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 16:49
Pinnacle🎯4.21I 23.75%NM 22.89%EV -0.874%E -0.207%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.11%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 16:44
BetUS🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.11%E -0.264%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 16:49
theScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.11%E -0.264%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.20%E -4.19%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 16:49
Caesars🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.11%E -0.264%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.20%E -4.19%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 16:42
BetOnline.ag🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -2.05%E -0.493%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 16:49
LowVig.ag🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -2.05%E -0.493%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 16:49
BetAnything🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -2.29%E -0.551%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 16:44
Bovada🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -2.29%E -0.551%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.20%E -4.19%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 16:54
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.46%E -0.845%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 16:44
DraftKings🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.46%E -0.845%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 16:44
GTbets🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.46%E -0.845%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 16:44
MyBookie.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.46%E -0.845%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.20%E -4.19%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 16:29
Fliff🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -4.64%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.96%E -4.85%K -25.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 16:54
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 16:39
Betr (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 16:54
Bet Right🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 16:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 16:44
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 16:44
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 16:49
ReBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.20%E -4.19%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 16:49
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.20%E -4.19%K -21.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 16:44
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.20%E -4.19%K -21.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 16:44
BoyleSports🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.17%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 16:44
Coolbet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.17%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.20%E -4.19%K -21.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 16:49
SportsBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.35%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 16:40
1xBet🎯3.81I 26.25%NM 25.15%EV -10.29%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.85%EV -2.14%E -1.67%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 16:34
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.37%E -1.06%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 15:29
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.90%E -2.29%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:49
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.67%E -2.91%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 16:44
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -15.24%E -4.23%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -0.609%E -0.469%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -15.24%E -4.23%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -0.609%E -0.469%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 16:54
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -15.24%E -4.23%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -0.609%E -0.469%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 16:49
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -15.24%E -4.23%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -0.609%E -0.469%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 16:54
Bally Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -15.24%E -4.23%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -0.609%E -0.469%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 16:54
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -15.24%E -4.23%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -0.609%E -0.469%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 16:54
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -15.24%E -4.23%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -0.609%E -0.469%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 16:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -15.24%E -4.23%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -0.609%E -0.469%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 16:49
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -15.24%E -4.23%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.37%E -1.06%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:54
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -15.24%E -4.23%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.37%E -1.06%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:54
LeoVegas🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -16.41%E -4.62%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -5.20%E -4.19%K -21.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 16:54
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -17.59%E -5.03%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.43%E -3.55%K -17.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -18.77%E -5.44%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.56%EV -5.20%E -4.19%K -21.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 16:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-08-15 16:54
Matchbook◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-08-15 16:54
Polymarket◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%0.7%2026-08-15 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-08-15 16:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-08-15 16:54
ProphetX◎4.45I 22.47%NM 22.20%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.80%1.2%2026-08-15 16:54
Kalshi◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%1.7%2026-08-15 16:44
Novig◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%1.7%2026-08-15 16:54