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Connecticut Sun v New York Liberty
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Connecticut Sun (Local)
Prediction 15.42%6.48fair odd
EV +11.05%
Edge +1.53%
Kelly +1.78%
Growth +0.197%
assuming max odds 7.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.25%15.32%15.73%17.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.106.116.007.2019.61%16.37%16.67%13.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Liberty (Visit)
Prediction 84.58%1.18fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -3.14%
Kelly -25.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.52%84.68%84.27%86.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.131.131.1492.59%88.86%88.50%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Connecticut Sun (Local): 15.42%; New York Liberty (Visit): 84.58%. For Connecticut Sun (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.48. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +11.05%E +1.53%K +1.78%G +0.197% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -6.97%E -6.33%K -69.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-08 22:51 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.88I 14.53%NM 14.11%EV +6.12%E +0.889%K +1.04%G +0.064% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.89%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-08 22:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.45%EV +4.11%E +0.609%K +0.715%G +0.029% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.55%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.59%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +4.11%E +0.609%K +0.715%G +0.029% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +4.11%E +0.609%K +0.715%G +0.029% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -6.12%E -5.51%K -55.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +1.95%E +0.295%K +0.348%G +0.007% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +1.95%E +0.295%K +0.348%G +0.007% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +1.80%E +0.272%K +0.321%G +0.006% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.254%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-08 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.254%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.254%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.60%E -0.576%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.60%E -0.576%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-08 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -9.00%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -9.00%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -13.63%E -2.43%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -13.63%E -2.43%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -15.17%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.17%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.48%EV -21.34%E -4.18%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.52%EV -8.66%E -8.02%K -108.22%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 0.7% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 0.8% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 0.8% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 0.8% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 0.8% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 1.0% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Novig◎ | 7.46I 13.40%NM 13.26% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.74% | 1.1% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |