A Escola das Odds

Connecticut Sun v New York Liberty

Início: 2026-06-08 23:03 UTC

Final: Connecticut Sun 80–89 New York Liberty

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Connecticut Sun (Local)

Previsão 15.42%6.48odd justa
EV +11.05%
Vantagem +1.53%
Kelly +1.78%
Crescimento +0.197%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.25%15.32%15.73%17.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.106.116.007.2019.61%16.37%16.67%13.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Liberty (Visitante)

Previsão 84.58%1.18odd justa
EV -3.58%
Vantagem -3.14%
Kelly -25.59%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
82.52%84.68%84.27%86.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.081.131.131.1492.59%88.86%88.50%87.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
MyBookie.ag7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +11.05%E +1.53%K +1.78%G +0.197%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -6.97%E -6.33%K -69.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 22:51
Pinnacle6.88I 14.53%NM 14.11%EV +6.12%E +0.889%K +1.04%G +0.064%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.89%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-08 22:48
Bet Victor6.75I 14.81%NM 14.45%EV +4.11%E +0.609%K +0.715%G +0.029%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.55%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-08 22:59
DraftKings6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +4.11%E +0.609%K +0.715%G +0.029%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 22:59
Hard Rock Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +4.11%E +0.609%K +0.715%G +0.029%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -6.12%E -5.51%K -55.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-08 22:59
BetOnline.ag6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +1.95%E +0.295%K +0.348%G +0.007%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-08 22:59
LowVig.ag6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +1.95%E +0.295%K +0.348%G +0.007%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-08 22:59
GTbets6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +1.80%E +0.272%K +0.321%G +0.006%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Caesars6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.254%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 22:55
BetUS6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.254%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 22:59
BetAnything6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.254%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 22:59
Unibet (UK)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.60%E -0.576%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:59
Bovada6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.60%E -0.576%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 23:00
BetMGM6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Bally Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-08 22:59
betPARX6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-08 22:59
BetRivers6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 22:59
Unibet (NL)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 22:59
LeoVegas6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 22:59
Unibet (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 22:59
TABtouch6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 22:59
Unibet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 22:59
Svenska Spel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 22:59
ATG (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 22:59
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-08 22:59
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-08 22:59
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-08 22:59
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-08 22:59
theScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.46%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-08 22:59
FanDuel5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -9.00%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:59
ReBet5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -9.00%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:59
SportsBet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.43%E -3.92%K -34.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 22:59
Betsson5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-08 22:59
NordicBet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.31%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-08 22:59
Neds5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -13.63%E -2.43%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -13.63%E -2.43%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-08 22:59
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -15.17%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.58%E -3.14%K -25.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 22:59
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.17%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.27%E -4.71%K -43.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-08 22:59
PMU (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.48%EV -21.34%E -4.18%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 82.52%EV -8.66%E -8.02%K -108.22%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-08 22:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%0.7%2026-06-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%0.8%2026-06-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%0.8%2026-06-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%0.8%2026-06-08 22:59
ProphetX7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%0.8%2026-06-08 22:59
Polymarket7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%1.0%2026-06-08 22:59
Novig7.46I 13.40%NM 13.26%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.74%1.1%2026-06-08 22:59