Language:English
Connecticut Sun v Los Angeles Sparks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Connecticut Sun (Local)
Prediction 39.15%2.55fair odd
EV -0.160%
Edge -0.063%
Kelly -0.103%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.65%39.11%39.09%40.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.432.432.5544.44%41.21%41.15%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Los Angeles Sparks (Visit)
Prediction 60.85%1.64fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -3.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.49%60.89%60.91%62.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.571.571.6168.03%63.83%63.69%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Connecticut Sun (Local): 39.15%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visit): 60.85%. For Connecticut Sun (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.554. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.550, with an expected value of -0.160%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.160%E -0.063%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.30%E -4.09%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-30 20:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.160%E -0.063%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.30%E -4.09%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -2.12%E -0.847%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.64%E -1.65%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-30 21:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.12%E -0.847%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.25%E -2.05%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-30 21:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.12%E -0.847%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.12%E -0.847%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.30%E -4.09%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 21:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.51%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.25%E -2.05%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.51%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.25%E -2.05%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -2.51%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -2.90%E -1.17%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -3.25%E -2.05%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.25%E -2.05%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 19:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 19:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.25%E -2.05%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-30 21:26 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 21:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 21:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 21:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 21:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.25%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 21:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.03%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 21:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.03%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.03%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.03%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.03%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.42%E -2.69%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 21:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.30%E -4.09%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.30%E -4.09%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.90%E -4.51%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 17:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.90%E -4.51%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 21:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -7.21%E -3.04%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -2.04%E -1.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.64%E -1.65%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.64%E -1.65%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 21:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.52%EV -11.91%E -5.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.48%EV -10.55%E -7.18%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-30 21:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 21:41 |
| Novig◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 21:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 0.9% | 2026-05-30 21:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-05-30 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 1.3% | 2026-05-30 21:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84% | 2.4% | 2026-05-30 21:30 |