La escuela de los momios

Connecticut Sun v Los Angeles Sparks

Inicio: 2026-05-30 22:00 UTC

Final: Connecticut Sun 84–81 Los Angeles Sparks

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Connecticut Sun (Local)

Predicción 39.15%2.55momio equitativo
EV -0.160%
Ventaja -0.063%
Kelly -0.103%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.65%39.11%39.09%40.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.432.432.5544.44%41.21%41.15%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)

Predicción 60.85%1.64momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -3.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.49%60.89%60.91%62.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.571.571.6168.03%63.83%63.69%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.160%E -0.063%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.30%E -4.09%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 20:30
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.160%E -0.063%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.30%E -4.09%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 20:00
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -2.12%E -0.847%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.64%E -1.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-30 21:49
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.12%E -0.847%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.25%E -2.05%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-30 21:40
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.12%E -0.847%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 21:20
MyBookie.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.12%E -0.847%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.30%E -4.09%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 21:09
BetOnline.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.51%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.25%E -2.05%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-30 21:20
LowVig.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.51%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.25%E -2.05%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-30 21:20
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -2.51%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 21:20
BetUS2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -2.90%E -1.17%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -3.25%E -2.05%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 21:20
GTbets2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.25%E -2.05%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 21:20
Betway2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 17:50
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 21:20
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 19:29
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 19:29
Caesars2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.25%E -2.05%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 21:26
ReBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 21:50
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 21:50
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 21:50
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 21:50
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 21:49
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 21:50
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 21:49
Bally Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 21:50
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 21:50
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.86%E -2.00%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 21:49
FanDuel2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.25%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 21:50
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.03%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 21:30
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.03%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 21:20
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.03%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 21:50
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.03%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 21:00
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.03%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.69%E -3.67%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 21:20
SportsBet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.42%E -2.69%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 21:50
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 17:50
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 17:50
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.47%E -2.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 17:50
Coolbet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.08%E -3.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 21:30
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.30%E -4.09%K -11.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 21:00
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.30%E -4.09%K -11.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 21:00
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.90%E -4.51%K -13.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 17:20
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.90%E -4.51%K -13.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 21:10
1xBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -7.21%E -3.04%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -2.04%E -1.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 21:20
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.64%E -1.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.64%E -1.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 21:50
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.52%EV -11.91%E -5.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.48%EV -10.55%E -7.18%K -22.46%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-30 21:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-05-30 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-05-30 21:41
Novig2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%0.8%2026-05-30 21:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%0.9%2026-05-30 21:50
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-05-30 21:00
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-05-30 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%1.3%2026-05-30 21:50
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.4%2026-05-30 21:30