Language:English
Connecticut Sun v Los Angeles Sparks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Connecticut Sun (Local)
Prediction 44.77%2.23fair odd
EV +0.743%
Edge +0.330%
Kelly +0.594%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.04%44.71%44.79%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.122.2550.00%46.96%47.17%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Los Angeles Sparks (Visit)
Prediction 55.23%1.81fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%55.29%55.21%56.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.721.7760.61%58.14%58.14%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Connecticut Sun (Local): 44.77%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visit): 55.23%. For Connecticut Sun (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.743%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV +0.743%E +0.330%K +0.594%G +0.004% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-18 22:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV +0.743%E +0.330%K +0.594%G +0.004% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-18 22:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.50%E -0.680%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 21:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.50%E -0.680%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.50%E -0.680%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 22:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.50%E -0.680%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.39%E -1.10%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.39%E -1.10%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.39%E -1.10%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -2.84%E -1.31%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.22%E -4.30%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 22:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 21:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 21:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 21:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 22:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 22:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 22:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.88%E -5.38%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 22:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.36%E -1.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 22:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -5.53%E -2.62%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.53%E -2.62%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 22:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.25%E -1.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-18 22:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-18 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 21:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 22:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 17:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 22:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 21:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 17:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.87%E -3.30%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.87%E -3.30%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.36%E -1.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -8.33%E -5.02%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 0.0% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-08-18 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97% | 0.9% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-18 21:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-18 21:10 |