Idioma:Español
Connecticut Sun v Los Angeles Sparks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Connecticut Sun (Local)
Predicción 44.77%2.23momio equitativo
EV +0.743%
Ventaja +0.330%
Kelly +0.594%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.04%44.71%44.79%46.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.132.122.2550.00%46.96%47.17%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)
Predicción 55.23%1.81momio equitativo
EV -2.25%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -2.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.95%55.29%55.21%56.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.721.721.7760.61%58.14%58.14%56.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Connecticut Sun (Local): 44.77%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante): 55.23%. Para Connecticut Sun (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.23. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.743%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV +0.743%E +0.330%K +0.594%G +0.004% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-18 22:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV +0.743%E +0.330%K +0.594%G +0.004% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-18 22:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.50%E -0.680%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 21:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.50%E -0.680%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.50%E -0.680%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 22:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.50%E -0.680%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.39%E -1.10%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.39%E -1.10%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.39%E -1.10%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -2.84%E -1.31%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.22%E -4.30%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 22:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 21:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 21:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 21:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 22:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 22:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 22:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.88%E -5.38%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 22:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.36%E -1.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 22:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -5.53%E -2.62%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.53%E -2.62%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 22:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.25%E -1.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-18 22:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-18 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 21:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 22:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 17:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 22:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 21:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 17:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.87%E -3.30%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.87%E -3.30%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.36%E -1.92%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -8.33%E -5.02%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-18 22:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 0.0% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-08-18 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97% | 0.9% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-18 21:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-18 21:10 |