A Escola das Odds

Connecticut Sun v Las Vegas Aces

Início: 2026-05-14 00:08 UTC

Final: Connecticut Sun 69–98 Las Vegas Aces

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Connecticut Sun (Local)

Previsão 11.97%8.35odd justa
EV +7.73%
Vantagem +0.859%
Kelly +0.967%
Crescimento +0.075%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.54%11.89%11.99%14.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.507.898.009.0015.38%12.68%12.50%11.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Las Vegas Aces (Visitante)

Previsão 88.03%1.14odd justa
EV -3.17%
Vantagem -2.88%
Kelly -31.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
85.75%88.11%88.01%89.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.031.081.081.1097.09%92.59%92.59%90.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Victor9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +7.73%E +0.859%K +0.967%G +0.075%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 00:05
theScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +7.73%E +0.859%K +0.967%G +0.075%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.69%E -6.31%K -111.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 00:05
BetAnything8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +1.75%E +0.206%K +0.233%G +0.004%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 00:04
BetUS8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +1.75%E +0.206%K +0.233%G +0.004%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 23:59
LowVig.ag8.32I 12.02%NM 11.58%EV -0.406%E -0.049%K -0.055%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.42%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-14 00:05
BetOnline.ag8.32I 12.02%NM 11.58%EV -0.406%E -0.049%K -0.055%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.42%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-14 00:05
Pinnacle8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83%EV -1.84%E -0.225%K -0.256%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17%EV -3.17%E -2.88%K -31.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-14 00:01
FanDuel8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -3.04%E -0.375%K -0.428%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 00:05
DraftKings8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 00:05
Fanatics8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 00:05
Caesars8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 00:04
BetMGM8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 00:05
Unibet (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
Bet Right8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
LeoVegas8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
Unibet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
Unibet (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
Unibet (NL)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
betPARX8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
ATG (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
Bally Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
Svenska Spel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
Betway8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 00:05
Hard Rock Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 00:05
MyBookie.ag7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -5.43%E -0.688%K -0.787%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 00:03
ReBet7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -5.43%E -0.688%K -0.787%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 23:59
Fliff7.80I 12.82%NM 11.96%EV -6.63%E -0.850%K -0.975%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.04%EV -6.69%E -6.31%K -111.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 00:05
Neds7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -10.22%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -10.22%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
Bovada7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -10.22%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:02
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.22%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 00:05
Coolbet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.22%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 23:59
888sport7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.22%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 23:59
BetRivers7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.22%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 00:05
NordicBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.22%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 23:59
Betsson7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.22%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 23:59
Betr (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.21%E -2.32%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.88%K -31.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 23:59
PMU (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.24%EV -19.20%E -2.84%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 86.76%EV -9.33%E -9.06%K -310.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-14 00:05
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -22.19%E -3.41%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 00:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06%1.7%2026-05-14 00:05
Kalshi10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%1.7%2026-05-14 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.75%2.0%2026-05-14 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.75%2.0%2026-05-14 00:05
Polymarket9.09I 11.00%NM 10.71%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.29%2.7%2026-05-14 00:05
Novig7.35I 13.61%NM 13.22%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.78%2.9%2026-05-14 00:05
ProphetX7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%3.8%2026-05-14 00:05