L’École des cotes

Connecticut Sun v Las Vegas Aces

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-14 00:08 UTC

Score final : Connecticut Sun 69–98 Las Vegas Aces

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Connecticut Sun (Local)

Prévision 11.97%8.35cote équitable
EV +7.73%
Avantage +0.859%
Kelly +0.967%
Croissance +0.075%

avec la cote maximale 9.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.54%11.89%11.99%14.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.898.009.0015.38%12.68%12.50%11.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Las Vegas Aces (Visiteur)

Prévision 88.03%1.14cote équitable
EV -3.17%
Avantage -2.88%
Kelly -31.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
85.75%88.11%88.01%89.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.031.081.081.1097.09%92.59%92.59%90.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +7.73%E +0.859%K +0.967%G +0.075%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 00:05
theScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +7.73%E +0.859%K +0.967%G +0.075%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.69%E -6.31%K -111.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 00:05
BetAnything8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +1.75%E +0.206%K +0.233%G +0.004%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 00:04
BetUS8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +1.75%E +0.206%K +0.233%G +0.004%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 23:59
LowVig.ag8.32I 12.02%NM 11.58%EV -0.406%E -0.049%K -0.055%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.42%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-14 00:05
BetOnline.ag8.32I 12.02%NM 11.58%EV -0.406%E -0.049%K -0.055%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.42%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-14 00:05
Pinnacle8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83%EV -1.84%E -0.225%K -0.256%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17%EV -3.17%E -2.88%K -31.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-14 00:01
FanDuel8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -3.04%E -0.375%K -0.428%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 00:05
DraftKings8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 00:05
Fanatics8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 00:05
Caesars8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 00:04
BetMGM8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 00:05
Unibet (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
Bet Right8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
LeoVegas8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
Unibet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
Unibet (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
Unibet (NL)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
betPARX8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
ATG (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
Bally Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
Svenska Spel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
Betway8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 00:05
Hard Rock Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.24%E -0.530%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 00:05
MyBookie.ag7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -5.43%E -0.688%K -0.787%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 00:03
ReBet7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -5.43%E -0.688%K -0.787%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 23:59
Fliff7.80I 12.82%NM 11.96%EV -6.63%E -0.850%K -0.975%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.04%EV -6.69%E -6.31%K -111.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 00:05
Neds7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -10.22%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -10.22%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:05
Bovada7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -10.22%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.05%E -3.71%K -44.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:02
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.22%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 00:05
Coolbet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.22%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 23:59
888sport7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.22%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 23:59
BetRivers7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.22%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 00:05
NordicBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.22%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 23:59
Betsson7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.22%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.81%E -5.43%K -82.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 23:59
Betr (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.21%E -2.32%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.17%E -2.88%K -31.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 23:59
PMU (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.24%EV -19.20%E -2.84%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 86.76%EV -9.33%E -9.06%K -310.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-14 00:05
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -22.19%E -3.41%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.93%E -4.56%K -61.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 00:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06%1.7%2026-05-14 00:05
Kalshi10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%1.7%2026-05-14 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.75%2.0%2026-05-14 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.75%2.0%2026-05-14 00:05
Polymarket9.09I 11.00%NM 10.71%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.29%2.7%2026-05-14 00:05
Novig7.35I 13.61%NM 13.22%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.78%2.9%2026-05-14 00:05
ProphetX7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%3.8%2026-05-14 00:05