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Connecticut Sun v Indiana Fever
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Connecticut Sun (Local)
Prediction 23.23%4.30fair odd
EV +4.55%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.059%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.99%23.19%23.22%24.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.154.104.5026.67%24.08%24.39%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Indiana Fever (Visit)
Prediction 76.77%1.30fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -9.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.10%76.81%76.78%79.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.231.241.2786.96%81.21%80.65%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Connecticut Sun (Local): 23.23%; Indiana Fever (Visit): 76.77%. For Connecticut Sun (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.30. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.55%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +4.55%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.059% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.11%E -5.88%K -33.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +4.55%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.059% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.11%E -5.88%K -33.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +4.55%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.059% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.11%E -5.88%K -33.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +4.55%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.059% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.11%E -5.88%K -33.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +4.55%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.059% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.11%E -5.88%K -33.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +4.55%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.059% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.11%E -5.88%K -33.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +4.55%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.059% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.11%E -5.88%K -33.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +4.55%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.059% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.11%E -5.88%K -33.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +4.55%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.059% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.11%E -5.88%K -33.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.48I 22.32%NM 20.99%EV +4.09%E +0.913%K +1.18%G +0.048% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.01%EV -8.65%E -7.27%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -0.092%E -0.021%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -7.11%E -5.88%K -33.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -0.092%E -0.021%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -7.11%E -5.88%K -33.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -1.25%E -0.295%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.04%E -3.23%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-13 22:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%EV -2.51%E -1.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-13 22:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.81%E -3.88%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-13 22:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.81%E -3.88%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.35%E -0.804%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.04%E -3.23%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.35%E -0.804%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.04%E -3.23%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -3.58%E -0.862%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.81%E -3.88%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-13 22:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.04%E -3.23%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-13 22:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.81%E -3.88%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.81%E -3.88%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.81%E -3.88%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-13 21:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -5.90%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.28%E -2.60%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -5.90%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.58%E -4.54%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -5.90%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.35%E -5.20%K -28.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-13 21:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -5.90%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.35%E -5.20%K -28.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-13 21:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.28%E -2.60%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.28%E -2.60%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.04%E -3.23%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-13 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.04%E -3.23%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.04%E -3.23%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.04%E -3.23%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-13 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.04%E -3.23%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-13 21:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.81%E -3.88%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.81%E -3.88%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.35%E -5.20%K -28.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.22%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.04%E -3.23%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-13 22:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.55%EV -8.22%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.45%EV -11.72%E -10.19%K -78.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.35%E -5.20%K -28.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-13 21:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.71%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.28%E -2.60%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-13 22:02 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -12.87%E -3.43%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -4.81%E -3.88%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.87%E -3.43%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.35%E -5.20%K -28.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 1.0% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 1.1% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| Novig◎ | 4.46I 22.42%NM 22.03% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.97% | 1.8% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67% | 4.2% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09% | 6.3% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09% | 6.3% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09% | 6.3% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |