A Escola das Odds

Connecticut Sun v Indiana Fever

Início: 2026-06-13 22:11 UTC

Final: Connecticut Sun 75–85 Indiana Fever

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Connecticut Sun (Local)

Previsão 23.23%4.30odd justa
EV +4.55%
Vantagem +1.01%
Kelly +1.30%
Crescimento +0.059%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.99%23.19%23.22%24.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.154.104.5026.67%24.08%24.39%22.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Indiana Fever (Visitante)

Previsão 76.77%1.30odd justa
EV -2.51%
Vantagem -1.97%
Kelly -9.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.10%76.81%76.78%79.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.151.231.241.2786.96%81.21%80.65%78.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +4.55%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.059%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.11%E -5.88%K -33.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 22:10
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +4.55%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.059%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.11%E -5.88%K -33.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 22:10
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +4.55%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.059%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.11%E -5.88%K -33.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 22:10
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +4.55%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.059%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.11%E -5.88%K -33.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +4.55%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.059%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.11%E -5.88%K -33.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 22:10
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +4.55%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.059%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.11%E -5.88%K -33.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 22:10
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +4.55%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.059%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.11%E -5.88%K -33.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 22:10
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +4.55%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.059%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.11%E -5.88%K -33.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 22:10
Bally Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +4.55%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.059%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.11%E -5.88%K -33.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 22:10
GTbets4.48I 22.32%NM 20.99%EV +4.09%E +0.913%K +1.18%G +0.048%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.01%EV -8.65%E -7.27%K -45.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 22:10
TABtouch4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -0.092%E -0.021%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -7.11%E -5.88%K -33.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 22:10
BetRivers4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -0.092%E -0.021%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -7.11%E -5.88%K -33.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 22:10
Pinnacle4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -1.25%E -0.295%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.04%E -3.23%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-13 22:04
Bet Victor4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%EV -2.51%E -1.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-13 22:09
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.81%E -3.88%K -20.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 22:09
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.81%E -3.88%K -20.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 22:10
LowVig.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.35%E -0.804%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.04%E -3.23%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-13 22:10
BetOnline.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.35%E -0.804%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.04%E -3.23%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-13 22:10
Bovada4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -3.58%E -0.862%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.81%E -3.88%K -20.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 22:09
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.04%E -3.23%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-13 22:09
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.81%E -3.88%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 22:10
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.81%E -3.88%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 22:10
ReBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.81%E -3.88%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 21:59
Fliff4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -5.90%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.28%E -2.60%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 22:10
SportsBet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -5.90%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.58%E -4.54%K -24.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-13 22:10
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -5.90%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.35%E -5.20%K -28.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 21:59
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -5.90%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.35%E -5.20%K -28.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 21:59
BetAnything4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.28%E -2.60%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-13 22:10
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.28%E -2.60%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-13 22:10
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.04%E -3.23%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.04%E -3.23%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 22:10
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.04%E -3.23%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 22:10
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.04%E -3.23%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 21:59
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.04%E -3.23%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 21:59
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.81%E -3.88%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 22:10
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.81%E -3.88%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 22:10
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.35%E -5.20%K -28.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 22:10
MyBookie.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.22%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.04%E -3.23%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 22:09
PMU (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.55%EV -8.22%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 77.45%EV -11.72%E -10.19%K -78.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-13 22:10
BoyleSports3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.35%E -5.20%K -28.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 21:59
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.71%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.28%E -2.60%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 22:02
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -12.87%E -3.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -4.81%E -3.88%K -20.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-13 22:10
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.87%E -3.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.35%E -5.20%K -28.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 22:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%1.0%2026-06-13 22:10
Polymarket4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%1.1%2026-06-13 22:10
Novig4.46I 22.42%NM 22.03%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.97%1.8%2026-06-13 22:10
ProphetX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%4.2%2026-06-13 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%6.3%2026-06-13 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%6.3%2026-06-13 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%6.3%2026-06-13 22:10