Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Connecticut Sun v Chicago Sky

Kickoff: 2026-06-22 23:00 UTC

Final: Connecticut Sun 92–63 Chicago Sky

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Connecticut Sun (Local)

Prediction 40.75%2.45fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -0.919%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%40.76%40.70%42.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.332.322.4046.08%42.97%43.10%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Sky (Visit)

Prediction 59.25%1.69fair odd
EV +0.137%
Edge +0.081%
Kelly +0.198%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.11%59.24%59.30%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.621.621.6964.10%61.92%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Connecticut Sun (Local): 40.75%; Chicago Sky (Visit): 59.25%. For Chicago Sky (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.688. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.690, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.137%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV +0.137%E +0.081%K +0.198%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-22 22:09
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.23%E -1.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-22 21:19
Bet Victor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.23%E -1.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-22 22:47
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -2.23%E -1.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-22 22:50
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.83%E -1.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.83%E -1.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.83%E -1.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.83%E -1.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:49
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.83%E -1.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:50
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.83%E -1.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.83%E -1.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.83%E -1.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:49
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.83%E -1.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:50
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.06%E -2.17%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.42%E -2.10%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 21:30
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.10%E -3.11%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.42%E -2.10%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:49
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.10%E -3.11%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.42%E -2.10%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.21%E -0.919%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-22 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.21%E -0.919%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-22 18:39
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.21%E -0.919%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-22 18:39
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.21%E -0.919%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-22 22:09
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 17:29
GTbets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 17:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:19
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 17:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 17:29
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.21%E -0.919%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 17:39
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 17:39
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 17:29
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 17:49
FanDuel🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.65%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:49
Bet Right🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-22 17:50
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 22:20
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 18:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.21%E -0.919%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 17:49
ReBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 17:49
SportsBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 22:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.38%E -4.04%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 20:09
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.38%E -4.04%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 17:49
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.38%E -4.04%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 17:50
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.02%E -1.27%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-22 18:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.02%E -1.27%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-22 18:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.02%E -1.27%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-22 18:30
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-22 17:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.82%EV -11.58%E -5.34%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-22 22:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-06-22 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-06-22 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-06-22 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-06-22 22:49
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-22 22:40
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-06-22 22:09
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-06-22 21:50
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 39.76%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.24%1.8%2026-06-22 22:50