La escuela de los momios

Connecticut Sun v Chicago Sky

Inicio: 2026-06-22 23:00 UTC

Final: Connecticut Sun 92–63 Chicago Sky

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Connecticut Sun (Local)

Predicción 40.75%2.45momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -0.919%
Kelly -1.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%40.76%40.70%42.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.172.332.322.4046.08%42.97%43.10%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago Sky (Visitante)

Predicción 59.25%1.69momio equitativo
EV +0.137%
Ventaja +0.081%
Kelly +0.198%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.11%59.24%59.30%60.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.621.621.6964.10%61.92%61.73%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV +0.137%E +0.081%K +0.198%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-22 22:09
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.23%E -1.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-22 21:19
Bet Victor2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.23%E -1.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-22 22:47
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -2.23%E -1.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-22 22:50
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.83%E -1.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:50
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.83%E -1.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.83%E -1.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:49
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.83%E -1.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:49
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.83%E -1.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:50
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.83%E -1.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:49
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.83%E -1.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:49
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.83%E -1.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:49
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.83%E -1.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:50
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.06%E -2.17%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.42%E -2.10%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 21:30
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.10%E -3.11%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.42%E -2.10%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:49
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.10%E -3.11%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.42%E -2.10%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:49
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.21%E -0.919%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-22 18:39
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.21%E -0.919%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-22 18:39
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.21%E -0.919%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-22 18:39
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.21%E -0.919%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-22 22:09
DraftKings2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 17:29
GTbets2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 17:29
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:19
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 17:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 17:29
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.21%E -0.919%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 17:39
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 17:39
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 17:29
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 17:49
FanDuel2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.65%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:49
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:19
MyBookie.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-22 17:50
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 22:20
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 18:20
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.21%E -0.919%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 17:49
ReBet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 17:49
SportsBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 22:49
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.38%E -4.04%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 20:09
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.38%E -4.04%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 17:49
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.38%E -4.04%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 17:50
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.02%E -1.27%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-22 18:29
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.02%E -1.27%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-22 18:29
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.02%E -1.27%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-22 18:30
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-22 17:29
PMU (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.82%EV -11.58%E -5.34%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-22 22:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-06-22 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-06-22 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-06-22 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-06-22 22:49
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-22 22:40
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-06-22 22:09
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-06-22 21:50
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 39.76%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.24%1.8%2026-06-22 22:50