Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Connecticut Sun v Atlanta Dream

2026-08-13 23:00 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Connecticut Sun (Local)

Prediction 21.05%4.75fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.228%
Kelly -0.289%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.07%21.09%21.05%22.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.054.494.504.7024.69%22.27%22.22%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Dream (Visit)

Prediction 78.95%1.27fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -3.02%
Kelly -16.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.44%78.91%78.95%79.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.201.201.2285.47%83.30%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Connecticut Sun (Local): 21.05%; Atlanta Dream (Visit): 78.95%. For Connecticut Sun (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.75. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.70, with an expected value of -1.07%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.07%E -0.228%K -0.289%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.47%E -3.69%K -21.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 00:20
SportsBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -1.07%E -0.228%K -0.289%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.84%E -5.79%K -37.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 19:49
Fanatics🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.17%E -0.690%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.47%E -3.69%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-12 00:20
Caesars🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.17%E -0.690%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.47%E -3.69%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-12 00:16
GTbets🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.17%E -0.690%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.47%E -3.69%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-12 00:19
FanDuel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.17%E -0.690%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.26%E -4.38%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 19:50
theScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.17%E -0.690%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.26%E -4.38%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 00:19
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.17%E -0.690%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.26%E -4.38%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 00:19
Betr (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.17%E -0.690%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.26%E -4.38%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 00:19
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.28%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.68%E -3.02%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 01:40
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.28%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.47%E -3.69%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 00:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.28%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.47%E -3.69%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 00:20
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.28%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.26%E -4.38%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 00:20
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.28%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.26%E -4.38%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 00:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.28%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.26%E -4.38%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 00:19
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.28%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.63%E -6.52%K -44.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-11 19:48
Coolbet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.38%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.26%E -4.38%K -26.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 00:24
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.86%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.26%E -4.38%K -26.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 00:19
NordicBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.49%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.26%E -4.38%K -26.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 20:04
Betsson🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.49%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.26%E -4.38%K -26.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 20:39
ReBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.49%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.26%E -4.38%K -26.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-12 00:19
LeoVegas🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 22.56%EV -14.75%E -3.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.44%EV -6.84%E -5.79%K -37.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-12 00:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-08-12 00:20
Polymarket4.55I 21.98%NM 21.28%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.72%3.3%2026-08-12 00:40

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