Language:English
Connecticut Sun v Atlanta Dream
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Connecticut Sun (Local)
Prediction 20.36%4.91fair odd
EV +1.80%
Edge +0.360%
Kelly +0.451%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.09%20.38%20.30%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.654.705.0025.00%21.51%21.28%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlanta Dream (Visit)
Prediction 79.64%1.26fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -12.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.92%79.62%79.70%80.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.201.201.2287.72%83.57%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Connecticut Sun (Local): 20.36%; Atlanta Dream (Visit): 79.64%. For Connecticut Sun (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.91. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.80%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +1.80%E +0.360%K +0.451%G +0.008% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.23%E -4.39%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-13 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.80%E +0.360%K +0.451%G +0.008% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.03%E -5.11%K -33.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 21:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -1.25%E -0.258%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-13 22:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -1.66%E -0.344%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-13 22:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -1.66%E -0.344%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-13 22:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV -2.27%E -0.473%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%EV -2.84%E -2.33%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV -2.27%E -0.473%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%EV -2.84%E -2.33%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-13 22:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.27%E -0.473%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-13 22:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.27%E -0.473%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-13 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.27%E -0.473%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.23%E -4.39%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 21:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.27%E -0.473%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.23%E -4.39%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 21:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.27%E -0.473%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.03%E -5.11%K -33.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV -3.29%E -0.692%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -3.64%E -3.01%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-13 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.29%E -0.692%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-13 22:48 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 22:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 22:48 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.23%E -4.39%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.23%E -4.39%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.82%EV -5.53%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.18%EV -2.84%E -2.33%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-13 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.34%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 22:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.34%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 22:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.34%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.23%E -4.39%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 22:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -7.36%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.03%E -5.11%K -33.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-13 22:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -7.36%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.03%E -5.11%K -33.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.64%E -3.01%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 00:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 00:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 23:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -9.21%E -8.08%K -65.79%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -10.41%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.64%E -3.01%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 22:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.41%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.41%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 22:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -13.47%E -3.17%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.56%EV -7.62%E -6.57%K -47.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.56%E -4.64%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-13 22:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-08-13 22:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-08-13 22:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 19:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Novig◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00% | 1.2% | 2026-08-13 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41% | 1.5% | 2026-08-13 23:00 |