Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Connecticut Sun v Atlanta Dream

Início: 2026-08-13 23:05 UTC

Final: Connecticut Sun 69–104 Atlanta Dream

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Connecticut Sun (Local)

Previsão 20.36%4.91odd justa
EV +1.80%
Vantagem +0.360%
Kelly +0.451%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.09%20.38%20.30%23.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.654.705.0025.00%21.51%21.28%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Dream (Visitante)

Previsão 79.64%1.26odd justa
EV -2.84%
Vantagem -2.33%
Kelly -12.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.92%79.62%79.70%80.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.141.201.201.2287.72%83.57%83.33%81.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Connecticut Sun (Local): 20.36%; Atlanta Dream (Visitante): 79.64%. Para Connecticut Sun (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.91. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.80%.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetAnything🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +1.80%E +0.360%K +0.451%G +0.008%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.23%E -4.39%K -27.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-13 22:59
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.80%E +0.360%K +0.451%G +0.008%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.03%E -5.11%K -33.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 21:19
BetUS🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -1.25%E -0.258%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-13 22:54
LowVig.ag🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -1.66%E -0.344%K -0.433%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-13 22:54
BetOnline.ag🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -1.66%E -0.344%K -0.433%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-13 22:54
Bet Victor🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV -2.27%E -0.473%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%EV -2.84%E -2.33%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-13 22:49
betano_uk🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV -2.27%E -0.473%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%EV -2.84%E -2.33%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-13 22:48
DraftKings🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.27%E -0.473%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-13 22:25
GTbets🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.27%E -0.473%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-13 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.27%E -0.473%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.23%E -4.39%K -27.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 21:19
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.27%E -0.473%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.23%E -4.39%K -27.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 21:19
theScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.27%E -0.473%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.03%E -5.11%K -33.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 22:39
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV -3.29%E -0.692%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -3.64%E -3.01%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-13 23:00
Caesars🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.29%E -0.692%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-13 22:48
Fanatics🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 22:25
ReBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 22:44
MyBookie.ag🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 22:48
Unibet (NL)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 21:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 21:04
Unibet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 21:04
Unibet (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 21:04
ATG (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 21:04
Svenska Spel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 21:04
betPARX🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 21:04
Bally Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 21:04
BetRivers🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.23%E -4.39%K -27.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 21:04
TABtouch🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.31%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.23%E -4.39%K -27.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 21:04
Pinnacle🎯4.64I 21.55%NM 20.82%EV -5.53%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.18%EV -2.84%E -2.33%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-13 23:00
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.34%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 22:34
Betr (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.34%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 22:34
Coolbet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.34%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.23%E -4.39%K -27.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 22:34
NordicBet🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -7.36%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.03%E -5.11%K -33.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 22:29
Betsson🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -7.36%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.03%E -5.11%K -33.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 22:44
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.64%E -3.01%K -17.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 22:44
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 00:20
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 00:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 00:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 23:00
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 23:00
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -9.21%E -8.08%K -65.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-13 21:04
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -10.41%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.64%E -3.01%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 22:54
SportsBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.41%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 22:49
TAB🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.41%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 22:24
LeoVegas🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -13.47%E -3.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.56%EV -7.62%E -6.57%K -47.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-13 22:44
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.56%E -4.64%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.43%E -3.69%K -22.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-13 22:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-08-13 22:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-08-13 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-08-13 22:30
Polymarket◎5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%1.0%2026-08-13 19:15
Kalshi◎5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%1.0%2026-08-13 22:49
Novig◎5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%1.0%2026-08-13 23:00
ProphetX◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00%1.2%2026-08-13 23:00
Matchbook◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%1.5%2026-08-13 23:00