Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Sky v Washington Mystics

Kickoff: 2026-09-18 00:04 UTC

Final: Chicago Sky 80–110 Washington Mystics

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Sky (Local)

Prediction 47.35%2.11fair odd
EV +8.91%
Edge +3.87%
Kelly +6.86%
Growth +0.611%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.48%47.38%47.37%49.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.022.012.3052.36%49.54%49.63%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Mystics (Visit)

Prediction 52.65%1.90fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.829%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.79%52.62%52.63%58.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.801.801.8761.35%55.53%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Sky (Local): 47.35%; Washington Mystics (Visit): 52.65%. For Chicago Sky (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV +8.91%E +3.87%K +6.86%G +0.611%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -14.19%E -8.70%K -22.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 23:57
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.559%E -0.266%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.81%E -3.85%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-17 23:58
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.51%E -0.724%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.29%E -3.53%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.51%E -0.724%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.29%E -3.53%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 23:10
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.93%E -1.43%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.60%E -1.41%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-17 23:50
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.93%E -1.43%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.60%E -1.41%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-17 23:55
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -2.93%E -1.43%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-17 23:59
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.93%E -1.43%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 00:00
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.93%E -1.43%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 21:00
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.93%E -1.43%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 21:50
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.93%E -1.43%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 23:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.40%E -1.67%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-17 23:30
DraftKings🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.18%E -2.30%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-17 20:10
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 00:00
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 00:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 00:00
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 23:58
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 23:59
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 23:59
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.82%E -2.40%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-17 23:32
ReBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.82%E -2.40%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 23:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-17 11:10
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-17 23:40
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 22:05
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.18%E -2.30%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 23:55
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-17 23:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-17 07:50
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 22:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 22:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 22:15
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 00:00
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 23:24
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 00:00
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.92%E -5.16%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-17 23:35
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 22:05
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 23:55
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.29%E -3.53%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 23:30
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.29%E -3.53%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 23:30
Caesars🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -8.61%E -4.46%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -1.55%E -0.829%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 20:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -8.61%E -4.46%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -9.45%E -5.49%K -13.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 00:00
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.56%E -5.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-17 23:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-09-17 09:25
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-09-17 11:35
ProphetX2.09I 47.85%NM 47.22%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.78%1.3%2026-09-18 00:00
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-09-18 00:00
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-09-17 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%1.8%2026-09-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%1.8%2026-09-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%1.8%2026-09-18 00:00