Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Sky v Washington Mystics

Início: 2026-09-18 00:04 UTC

Final: Chicago Sky 80–110 Washington Mystics

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Sky (Local)

Previsão 47.35%2.11odd justa
EV +8.91%
Vantagem +3.87%
Kelly +6.86%
Crescimento +0.611%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.48%47.38%47.37%49.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.022.012.3052.36%49.54%49.63%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Mystics (Visitante)

Previsão 52.65%1.90odd justa
EV -1.55%
Vantagem -0.829%
Kelly -1.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.79%52.62%52.63%58.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.631.801.801.8761.35%55.53%55.56%53.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago Sky (Local): 47.35%; Washington Mystics (Visitante): 52.65%. Para Chicago Sky (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.11. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.91%.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV +8.91%E +3.87%K +6.86%G +0.611%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -14.19%E -8.70%K -22.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 23:57
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.559%E -0.266%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.81%E -3.85%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-17 23:58
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.51%E -0.724%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.29%E -3.53%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.51%E -0.724%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.29%E -3.53%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 23:10
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.93%E -1.43%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.60%E -1.41%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-17 23:50
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.93%E -1.43%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.60%E -1.41%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-17 23:55
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -2.93%E -1.43%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-17 23:59
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.93%E -1.43%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 00:00
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.93%E -1.43%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 21:00
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.93%E -1.43%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 21:50
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.93%E -1.43%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 23:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.40%E -1.67%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-17 23:30
DraftKings🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.18%E -2.30%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-17 20:10
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 00:00
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 00:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 00:00
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 23:58
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 23:59
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 23:59
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.82%E -2.40%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-17 23:32
ReBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.82%E -2.40%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.71%E -2.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 23:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-17 11:10
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-17 23:40
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 22:05
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.18%E -2.30%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 23:55
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-17 23:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-17 07:50
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 22:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 22:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 22:15
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 00:00
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 23:24
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 00:00
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.92%E -5.16%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-17 23:35
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 22:05
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 23:55
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.29%E -3.53%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 23:30
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.29%E -3.53%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 23:30
Caesars🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -8.61%E -4.46%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -1.55%E -0.829%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 20:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -8.61%E -4.46%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -9.45%E -5.49%K -13.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 00:00
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.56%E -5.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-17 23:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-09-17 09:25
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-09-17 11:35
ProphetX◎2.09I 47.85%NM 47.22%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.78%1.3%2026-09-18 00:00
Novig◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-09-18 00:00
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-09-17 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%1.8%2026-09-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%1.8%2026-09-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%1.8%2026-09-18 00:00