Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Sky v Toronto Tempo

Kickoff: 2026-05-28 00:03 UTC

Final: Chicago Sky 104–111 Toronto Tempo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Sky (Local)

Prediction 63.27%1.58fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.56%63.19%63.40%64.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.501.511.5570.42%66.51%66.23%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Tempo (Visit)

Prediction 36.73%2.72fair odd
EV -0.825%
Edge -0.306%
Kelly -0.486%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.47%36.81%36.60%38.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.582.602.7042.02%38.70%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Sky (Local): 63.27%; Toronto Tempo (Visit): 36.73%. For Toronto Tempo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -0.825%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -1.93%E -1.25%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-27 23:59
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -2.57%E -1.67%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -5.97%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 23:59
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.57%E -1.67%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 23:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.66%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-27 23:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.66%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-27 23:59
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.40%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 23:59
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.01%E -4.09%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 23:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.01%E -4.09%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 00:00
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -1.56%E -0.582%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-27 23:59
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.66%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 23:59
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.66%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 23:59
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.03%E -1.15%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 23:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 23:59
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 23:59
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 23:59
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.23%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 23:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 23:59
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 00:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 00:00
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 00:00
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 00:00
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.66%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 00:00
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.66%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 23:59
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.76%E -1.44%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 23:59
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 23:59
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 23:59
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 23:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 23:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 23:59
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 23:59
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 23:59
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 23:59
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.825%E -0.306%K -0.486%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 23:56
MyBookie.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -6.36%E -4.30%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -1.93%E -0.722%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.36%E -4.30%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 23:59
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -6.36%E -4.30%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -4.87%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 23:59
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.36%E -4.30%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 23:59
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.36%E -4.30%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 23:59
Fliff🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.00%E -4.76%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.01%E -4.09%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-27 23:59
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.89%E -6.18%K -20.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.76%E -1.44%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 23:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.63%EV -10.16%E -7.15%K -24.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -12.58%E -5.29%K -9.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-28 00:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-05-28 00:00
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-28 00:00
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-28 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-05-28 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-05-28 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-05-28 00:00
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-05-28 00:00
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%11.1%2026-05-28 00:00