La escuela de los momios

Chicago Sky v Toronto Tempo

Inicio: 2026-05-28 00:03 UTC

Final: Chicago Sky 104–111 Toronto Tempo

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago Sky (Local)

Predicción 63.27%1.58momio equitativo
EV -1.93%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -3.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.56%63.19%63.40%64.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.501.511.5570.42%66.51%66.23%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Toronto Tempo (Visitante)

Predicción 36.73%2.72momio equitativo
EV -0.825%
Ventaja -0.306%
Kelly -0.486%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.47%36.81%36.60%38.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.582.602.7042.02%38.70%38.46%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -1.93%E -1.25%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-27 23:59
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -2.57%E -1.67%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -5.97%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 23:59
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.57%E -1.67%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 23:59
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.66%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-27 23:59
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.66%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-27 23:59
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.40%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 23:59
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.01%E -4.09%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 23:59
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.01%E -4.09%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 00:00
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -1.56%E -0.582%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-27 23:59
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.66%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 23:59
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.66%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 23:59
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.03%E -1.15%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 23:59
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 23:59
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 23:59
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 23:59
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.23%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 23:59
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 23:59
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 00:00
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 00:00
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 00:00
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 00:00
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.46%E -2.96%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 00:00
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.66%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 00:00
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.66%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 23:59
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.76%E -1.44%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 23:59
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 23:59
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 23:59
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 23:59
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 23:59
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 23:59
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 23:59
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 23:59
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 23:59
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.73%E -3.85%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.825%E -0.306%K -0.486%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 23:56
MyBookie.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -6.36%E -4.30%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -1.93%E -0.722%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 00:00
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.36%E -4.30%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 23:59
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -6.36%E -4.30%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -4.87%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 23:59
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.36%E -4.30%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 23:59
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.36%E -4.30%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.34%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 23:59
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.00%E -4.76%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.01%E -4.09%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-27 23:59
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.89%E -6.18%K -20.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.76%E -1.44%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 23:59
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.63%EV -10.16%E -7.15%K -24.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -12.58%E -5.29%K -9.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-28 00:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-05-28 00:00
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-28 00:00
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-28 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-05-28 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-05-28 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-05-28 00:00
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-05-28 00:00
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%11.1%2026-05-28 00:00