Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.30
assuming max odds 1.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Sky (Local): 29.97%; Golden State Valkyries (Visit): 70.03%. For Golden State Valkyries (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.43. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.54%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV +1.54%E +1.07%K +3.43%G +0.053% | 2.3% | 2026-08-21 23:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV +1.54%E +1.07%K +3.43%G +0.053% | 2.3% | 2026-08-21 23:18 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.05%EV -10.39%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.95%EV -1.26%E -0.891%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-21 23:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 22:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -5.00%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-21 23:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.60%E -1.78%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-21 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 17:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 17:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 21:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 21:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 21:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.60%E -0.800%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.06%E -2.96%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 23:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.06%E -2.96%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-21 23:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.06%E -2.96%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 23:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.06%E -2.96%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -2.30%E -0.706%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-21 23:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -2.30%E -0.706%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-21 23:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.60%E -0.800%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-21 23:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.60%E -0.800%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-21 23:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.60%E -0.800%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-21 23:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 23:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 17:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.70%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 23:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 23:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -7.69%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 23:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 23:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 23:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.46%E -4.04%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 23:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.46%E -4.04%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 23:03 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -14.59%E -5.12%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -5.46%E -4.04%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-21 23:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -4.70%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -6.16%E -4.60%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 23:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.60%E -1.78%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.16%E -4.60%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-21 23:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.10%E -0.334%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.86%E -5.16%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-21 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.10%E -0.334%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.86%E -5.16%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-21 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.10%E -0.334%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.86%E -5.16%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-21 23:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.60%E -0.800%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.86%E -5.16%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 23:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.86%E -5.16%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-21 23:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.86%E -5.16%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-21 16:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -13.09%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -6.86%E -5.16%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 21:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-08-21 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-08-21 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 23:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-08-21 23:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-08-21 23:30 |