Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Sky v Golden State Valkyries

Início: 2026-08-21 23:33 UTC

Final: Chicago Sky 73–70 Golden State Valkyries

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Sky (Local)

Previsão 29.97%3.34odd justa
EV -1.10%
Vantagem -0.334%
Kelly -0.479%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.73%30.10%29.82%32.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.853.133.103.3035.09%31.99%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Golden State Valkyries (Visitante)

Previsão 70.03%1.43odd justa
EV +1.54%
Vantagem +1.07%
Kelly +3.43%
Crescimento +0.053%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.42%69.90%70.18%71.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.331.371.361.4575.19%73.20%73.53%68.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago Sky (Local): 29.97%; Golden State Valkyries (Visitante): 70.03%. Para Golden State Valkyries (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.43. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.45, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.54%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV +1.54%E +1.07%K +3.43%G +0.053%2.3%2026-08-21 23:20
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV +1.54%E +1.07%K +3.43%G +0.053%2.3%2026-08-21 23:18
1xBet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 32.05%EV -10.39%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.95%EV -1.26%E -0.891%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:10
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-21 22:09
Pinnacle🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -5.00%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-21 23:25
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.60%E -1.78%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 17:24
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 17:24
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 21:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 21:50
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 21:50
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 21:50
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 21:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 21:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 21:50
Bally Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 21:50
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.36%E -2.43%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.60%E -0.800%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.06%E -2.96%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 23:29
GTbets🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.06%E -2.96%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 23:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.06%E -2.96%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 23:19
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.06%E -2.96%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -2.30%E -0.706%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 23:24
BetOnline.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -2.30%E -0.706%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 23:20
theScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.60%E -0.800%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 23:29
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.60%E -0.800%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 23:20
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.60%E -0.800%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 23:19
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 23:25
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 17:40
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 17:29
MyBookie.ag🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.70%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:19
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 23:15
Coolbet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -7.69%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 23:19
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 23:15
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.76%E -3.50%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 23:15
ReBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.46%E -4.04%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 23:29
Caesars🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.46%E -4.04%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 23:03
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -14.59%E -5.12%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -5.46%E -4.04%K -15.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 23:29
SportsBet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -4.70%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -6.16%E -4.60%K -18.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 23:24
Fliff🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.60%E -1.78%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.16%E -4.60%K -18.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 23:29
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.10%E -0.334%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.86%E -5.16%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-21 23:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.10%E -0.334%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.86%E -5.16%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-21 23:29
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.10%E -0.334%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.86%E -5.16%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-21 23:29
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.60%E -0.800%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.86%E -5.16%K -20.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 23:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.86%E -5.16%K -20.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-21 23:30
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.86%E -5.16%K -20.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -13.09%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -6.86%E -5.16%K -20.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 21:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-08-21 23:30
Matchbook◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-08-21 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-08-21 23:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-08-21 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-08-21 23:30
Novig◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-08-21 23:30
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%2.0%2026-08-21 23:20
Polymarket◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%2.0%2026-08-21 23:30