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Chicago Sky v Connecticut Sun
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Sky (Local)
Prediction 66.23%1.51fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -4.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.68%66.26%66.35%68.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.4871.43%69.20%68.97%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Connecticut Sun (Visit)
Prediction 33.77%2.96fair odd
EV +0.641%
Edge +0.215%
Kelly +0.324%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.96%33.74%33.65%35.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.782.772.9838.46%36.01%36.10%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Sky (Local): 66.23%; Connecticut Sun (Visit): 33.77%. For Connecticut Sun (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.641%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV +0.641%E +0.215%K +0.324%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 00:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.97%E -2.74%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -0.372%E -0.126%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-30 23:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.97%E -2.74%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -0.372%E -0.126%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-30 23:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.372%E -0.126%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-31 00:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.474%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-30 23:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -1.72%E -0.592%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-30 22:22 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-31 00:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.75%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-31 00:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.75%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-30 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.75%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -1.98%E -1.34%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-31 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -1.98%E -1.34%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-31 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.65%E -1.80%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-31 00:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.97%E -2.74%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-30 19:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.97%E -2.74%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-30 21:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.97%E -2.74%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-30 23:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 23:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 23:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-31 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-30 23:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -3.97%E -2.74%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -6.11%E -2.20%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-30 23:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -6.11%E -2.20%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 23:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.31%E -2.27%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -6.45%E -2.33%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-30 19:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -6.45%E -2.33%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 23:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.97%E -2.74%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 21:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.97%E -2.74%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 21:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 18:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-31 00:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-31 00:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-30 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.65%E -1.80%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 22:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.65%E -1.80%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 22:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.65%E -1.80%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.65%E -1.80%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.65%E -1.80%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 22:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.65%E -1.80%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.65%E -1.80%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.65%E -1.80%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.65%E -1.80%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 22:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.65%E -1.80%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 22:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.31%E -2.27%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-30 23:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.97%E -2.74%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 23:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 23:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-30 23:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-30 22:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-07-31 00:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 32.16% | 1.0% | 2026-07-30 23:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-07-30 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-07-31 00:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-07-30 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03% | 1.6% | 2026-07-30 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18% | 1.8% | 2026-07-31 00:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.0% | 2026-07-31 00:00 |
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