Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Sky v Connecticut Sun

Início: 2026-07-31 00:02 UTC

Final: Chicago Sky 94–88 Connecticut Sun

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Sky (Local)

Previsão 66.23%1.51odd justa
EV -1.98%
Vantagem -1.34%
Kelly -4.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.68%66.26%66.35%68.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.451.451.4871.43%69.20%68.97%67.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Connecticut Sun (Visitante)

Previsão 33.77%2.96odd justa
EV +0.641%
Vantagem +0.215%
Kelly +0.324%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.96%33.74%33.65%35.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.782.772.9838.46%36.01%36.10%33.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago Sky (Local): 66.23%; Connecticut Sun (Visitante): 33.77%. Para Connecticut Sun (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.96. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.98, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.641%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV +0.641%E +0.215%K +0.324%G +0.002%5.0%2026-07-31 00:00
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.97%E -2.74%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -0.372%E -0.126%K -0.191%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-30 23:48
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.97%E -2.74%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -0.372%E -0.126%K -0.191%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-30 23:49
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.372%E -0.126%K -0.191%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 00:00
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.474%K -0.722%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 23:59
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -1.72%E -0.592%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 22:22
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 00:00
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.75%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 00:00
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.75%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 21:30
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.75%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -1.98%E -1.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-31 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -1.98%E -1.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-31 00:00
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.65%E -1.80%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-31 00:00
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.97%E -2.74%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 19:39
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.97%E -2.74%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 21:10
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.97%E -2.74%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 23:55
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 23:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 23:59
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 00:00
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 23:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -3.97%E -2.74%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -6.11%E -2.20%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 23:54
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -6.11%E -2.20%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 23:59
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.31%E -2.27%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -6.45%E -2.33%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 19:24
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -6.45%E -2.33%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 23:58
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.97%E -2.74%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 21:30
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.97%E -2.74%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 21:29
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 18:19
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 00:00
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 00:00
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 23:40
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.65%E -1.80%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 22:14
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.65%E -1.80%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 22:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.65%E -1.80%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 22:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.65%E -1.80%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.65%E -1.80%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 22:15
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.65%E -1.80%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 22:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.65%E -1.80%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 22:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.65%E -1.80%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 22:15
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.65%E -1.80%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 22:14
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.65%E -1.80%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 22:15
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.31%E -2.27%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 23:59
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.97%E -2.74%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 23:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.82%E -3.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 23:59
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-30 23:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-30 22:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-07-31 00:00
Novig◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84%3.08I 32.47%NM 32.16%1.0%2026-07-30 23:55
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-07-30 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-07-31 00:00
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-07-30 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03%1.6%2026-07-30 23:55
ProphetX◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18%1.8%2026-07-31 00:00
Polymarket◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-07-31 00:00