Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Dream v Washington Mystics

Kickoff: 2026-06-06 22:03 UTC

Final: Atlanta Dream 109–77 Washington Mystics

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Prediction 77.50%1.29fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -12.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.45%77.66%77.49%79.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.231.241.2585.47%81.30%80.65%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Mystics (Visit)

Prediction 22.50%4.44fair odd
EV +5.76%
Edge +1.23%
Kelly +1.56%
Growth +0.090%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.61%22.34%22.51%24.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.194.204.7026.67%23.84%23.81%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Dream (Local): 77.50%; Washington Mystics (Visit): 22.50%. For Washington Mystics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.44. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -5.45%E -4.47%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +5.76%E +1.23%K +1.56%G +0.090%3.2%2026-06-06 21:58
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.00%E -5.84%K -35.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +3.51%E +0.764%K +0.976%G +0.034%5.1%2026-06-06 21:59
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.00%E -5.84%K -35.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.26%E +0.281%K +0.361%G +0.005%5.6%2026-06-06 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.45%E -4.47%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.986%E -0.224%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 21:59
BetAnything🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.45%E -4.47%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.986%E -0.224%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 22:00
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.24%E -0.753%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 22:00
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.58%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.42%EV -3.46%E -0.807%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-06 22:00
Caesars🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -4.68%E -3.80%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV -3.69%E -0.861%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 21:57
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.36%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-06 21:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.23%E -5.15%K -29.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -4.36%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.13%E -2.50%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-06 22:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.13%E -2.50%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-06 22:00
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.13%E -2.50%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-06 21:59
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 22:00
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 21:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 22:00
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 22:00
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 21:59
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 22:00
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 22:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.68%E -3.80%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 21:58
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.68%E -3.80%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 21:59
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.45%E -4.47%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 21:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.45%E -4.47%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 22:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.45%E -4.47%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 21:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.45%E -4.47%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 21:59
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -6.61%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 21:58
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.45%E -4.47%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.61%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 21:59
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 22:00
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.45%E -4.47%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.86%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 21:59
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.45%E -4.47%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.86%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 21:59
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 22:00
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 22:00
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 21:58
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.45%E -4.47%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-06 21:59
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.45%E -4.47%K -24.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.61%E -4.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-06 21:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -9.33%E -7.97%K -54.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -15.61%E -4.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-06 21:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 77.13%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.87%0.5%2026-06-06 22:00
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 77.70%4.46I 22.42%NM 22.30%0.5%2026-06-06 21:57
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-06-06 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-06-06 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-06-06 22:00
Polymarket1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-06-06 22:00
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%2.7%2026-06-06 22:00