La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Dream v Washington Mystics

Inicio: 2026-06-06 22:03 UTC

Final: Atlanta Dream 109–77 Washington Mystics

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Predicción 77.50%1.29momio equitativo
EV -3.13%
Ventaja -2.50%
Kelly -12.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.45%77.66%77.49%79.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.231.241.2585.47%81.30%80.65%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Washington Mystics (Visitante)

Predicción 22.50%4.44momio equitativo
EV +5.76%
Ventaja +1.23%
Kelly +1.56%
Crecimiento +0.090%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.61%22.34%22.51%24.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.194.204.7026.67%23.84%23.81%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -5.45%E -4.47%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +5.76%E +1.23%K +1.56%G +0.090%3.2%2026-06-06 21:58
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.00%E -5.84%K -35.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +3.51%E +0.764%K +0.976%G +0.034%5.1%2026-06-06 21:59
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.00%E -5.84%K -35.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.26%E +0.281%K +0.361%G +0.005%5.6%2026-06-06 22:00
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.45%E -4.47%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.986%E -0.224%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 21:59
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.45%E -4.47%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.986%E -0.224%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 22:00
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.24%E -0.753%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 22:00
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 77.58%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.42%EV -3.46%E -0.807%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-06 22:00
Caesars1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -4.68%E -3.80%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV -3.69%E -0.861%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 21:57
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.36%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-06 21:59
Hard Rock Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.23%E -5.15%K -29.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -4.36%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 22:00
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.13%E -2.50%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-06 22:00
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.13%E -2.50%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-06 22:00
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.13%E -2.50%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-06 21:59
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 22:00
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 22:00
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 21:59
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 22:00
GTbets1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 22:00
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 21:59
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 22:00
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 22:00
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 22:00
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 22:00
MyBookie.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.68%E -3.80%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 21:58
ReBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.68%E -3.80%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 21:59
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.45%E -4.47%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 21:59
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.45%E -4.47%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 22:00
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.45%E -4.47%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 21:59
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.45%E -4.47%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 21:59
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -6.61%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 21:58
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.45%E -4.47%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.61%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 21:59
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 22:00
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.45%E -4.47%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.86%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 21:59
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.45%E -4.47%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.86%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 21:59
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 22:00
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 22:00
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.90%E -3.15%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 21:58
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.45%E -4.47%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-06 21:59
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.45%E -4.47%K -24.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.61%E -4.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-06 21:59
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -9.33%E -7.97%K -54.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -15.61%E -4.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-06 21:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 77.13%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.87%0.5%2026-06-06 22:00
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 77.70%4.46I 22.42%NM 22.30%0.5%2026-06-06 21:57
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-06-06 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-06-06 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-06-06 22:00
Polymarket1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-06-06 22:00
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%2.7%2026-06-06 22:00