Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.11
assuming max odds 8.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Dream (Local): 87.37%; Toronto Tempo (Visit): 12.63%. For Toronto Tempo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.92. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.37%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.64%E -5.22%K -70.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +7.37%E +0.868%K +0.983%G +0.073% | 4.4% | 2026-08-10 23:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.64%E -5.22%K -70.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +7.37%E +0.868%K +0.983%G +0.073% | 4.4% | 2026-08-10 23:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.96%EV -3.90%E -3.54%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 8.04I 12.44%NM 12.04%EV +1.56%E +0.195%K +0.222%G +0.003% | 3.3% | 2026-08-11 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.77%E -4.38%K -52.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +1.06%E +0.132%K +0.151%G +0.002% | 4.2% | 2026-08-10 23:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.64%E -5.22%K -70.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.06%E +0.132%K +0.151%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -3.90%E -3.54%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV -3.87%E -0.508%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-10 21:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -3.90%E -3.54%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV -3.87%E -0.508%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-10 21:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.26%EV -3.02%E -2.72%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.74%EV -3.99%E -0.526%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-10 23:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.90%E -3.54%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -5.26%E -0.701%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-10 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.90%E -3.54%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -5.26%E -0.701%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 00:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.90%E -3.54%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -5.26%E -0.701%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-10 14:33 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.90%E -3.54%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -5.26%E -0.701%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-10 21:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.90%E -3.54%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -5.26%E -0.701%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-10 20:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.90%E -3.54%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -5.26%E -0.701%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-10 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.77%E -4.38%K -52.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.26%E -0.701%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.77%E -4.38%K -52.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.26%E -0.701%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 23:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.77%E -4.38%K -52.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.26%E -0.701%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 23:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.77%E -4.38%K -52.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.26%E -0.701%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 23:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.77%E -4.38%K -52.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.26%E -0.701%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 23:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.77%E -4.38%K -52.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.26%E -0.701%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.77%E -4.38%K -52.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.26%E -0.701%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 23:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.77%E -4.38%K -52.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.26%E -0.701%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 23:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.77%E -4.38%K -52.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.26%E -0.701%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 23:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.77%E -4.38%K -52.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.26%E -0.701%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 23:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.77%E -4.38%K -52.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.26%E -0.701%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 00:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.77%E -4.38%K -52.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.26%E -0.701%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 23:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.64%E -5.22%K -70.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.26%E -0.701%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-10 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.64%E -5.22%K -70.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.26%E -0.701%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-10 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.64%E -5.22%K -70.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.26%E -0.701%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-10 23:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.64%E -5.22%K -70.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.26%E -0.701%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.64%E -5.22%K -70.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.26%E -0.701%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-10 23:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -3.90%E -3.54%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV -7.78%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 23:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -4.77%E -4.38%K -52.99%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -7.78%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 23:48 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.90%E -3.54%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.57%E -1.65%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-10 20:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.90%E -3.54%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.57%E -1.65%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-10 19:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.90%E -3.54%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.57%E -1.65%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.90%E -3.54%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.57%E -1.65%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-10 16:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.77%E -4.38%K -52.99%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.57%E -1.65%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 00:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.77%E -4.38%K -52.99%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.57%E -1.65%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 23:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.77%E -4.38%K -52.99%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.57%E -1.65%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -9.14%E -8.79%K -228.44%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -11.57%E -1.65%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-10 23:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -3.02%E -2.72%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -12.84%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 23:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.90%E -3.54%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -17.89%E -2.75%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-10 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.90%E -3.54%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -17.89%E -2.75%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-10 15:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -3.90%E -3.54%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -24.21%E -4.03%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-10 22:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.41%EV -4.77%E -4.38%K -52.99%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -25.47%E -4.32%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 23:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-08-10 23:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-08-10 23:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-08-10 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-08-11 00:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.59% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.41% | 0.8% | 2026-08-10 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 1.5% | 2026-08-11 00:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.24% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76% | 2.1% | 2026-08-10 23:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 00:00 |