Language:English
Atlanta Dream v Portland Fire
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Dream (Local)
Prediction 85.73%1.17fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -2.77%
Kelly -24.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.08%85.68%85.65%87.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.111.111.1393.46%89.99%90.09%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Portland Fire (Visit)
Prediction 14.27%7.01fair odd
EV +7.04%
Edge +0.938%
Kelly +1.08%
Growth +0.076%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.79%14.32%14.35%16.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.606.507.5018.18%15.16%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Dream (Local): 85.73%; Portland Fire (Visit): 14.27%. For Portland Fire (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.01. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.70%E -5.18%K -56.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +7.04%E +0.938%K +1.08%G +0.076% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +3.47%E +0.479%K +0.555%G +0.019% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 15:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.67%EV -5.70%E -5.18%K -56.99%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.33%EV +2.04%E +0.286%K +0.332%G +0.007% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.42%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.58%EV +1.76%E +0.247%K +0.287%G +0.005% | 3.3% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV +1.76%E +0.247%K +0.287%G +0.005% | 4.1% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV +1.76%E +0.247%K +0.287%G +0.005% | 4.1% | 2026-08-28 23:26 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -0.097%E -0.014%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-28 23:21 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -0.097%E -0.014%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-28 23:23 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.097%E -0.014%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-28 15:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.097%E -0.014%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.097%E -0.014%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-28 20:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -2.95%E -0.434%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -3.67%E -0.543%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-28 21:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -3.67%E -0.543%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-28 16:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.67%E -0.543%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 21:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.67%E -0.543%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 21:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.67%E -0.543%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.67%E -0.543%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 23:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -4.38%E -0.654%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 21:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -4.38%E -0.654%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 21:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -5.81%E -0.880%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 21:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -5.81%E -0.880%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 21:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 15:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.70%E -5.18%K -56.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.70%E -5.18%K -56.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 15:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -8.66%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -8.66%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.56%E -6.01%K -72.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -10.80%E -1.73%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -11.51%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 23:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16%EV -7.41%E -6.86%K -92.67%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.84%EV -11.51%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.08%EV -8.27%E -7.73%K -118.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -12.94%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.37%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.37%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.70%E -5.18%K -56.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.37%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-28 15:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.13%E -2.77%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -17.94%E -3.12%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.51%E -3.91%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-08-28 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.49% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.51% | 1.4% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94% | 1.7% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28% | 1.8% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |